ArticleEmerging microbes & infections2014
Complex temporal climate signals drive the emergence of human water-borne disease.
Article in Emerging microbes & infections, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.
- A need for null models in understanding disease transmission: the example of Mycobacterium ulcerans (Buruli ulcer disease).FEMS microbiology reviews · 2022Pooled it
- The Indian Ocean Dipole drives imported-dominated dengue outbreaks in China: Mechanisms and predictions.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Understanding the transmission of bacterial agents of sapronotic diseases using an ecosystem-based approach: A first spatially realistic metacommunity model.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- A thirty-year time series analyses identifies coherence between oscillations in Anthrax outbreaks and El Niño in Karnataka, India.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Long-term effects of climate factors on dengue fever over a 40-year period.BMC public health · 2024Article
- An analecta of visualizations for foodborne illness trends and seasonality.Scientific data · 2020Article
- Spatio-Temporal Dynamic of Malaria Incidence: A Comparison of Two Ecological Zones in Mali.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Emerging human infectious diseases of aquatic origin: a comparative biogeographic approach using Bayesian spatial modelling.International journal of health geographics · 2019Article
- Comparison of Mycobacterium ulcerans (Buruli ulcer) and Leptospira sp. (Leptospirosis) dynamics in urban and rural settings.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2019Article
- Evaluating temporal patterns of snakebite in Sri Lanka: the potential for higher snakebite burdens with climate change.International journal of epidemiology · 2018Article
- The changing epidemiology worldwide ofEpidemiology and infection · 2018Article
- Malaria intensity in Colombia by regions and populations.PloS one · 2018Article
- Seasonal Pattern of Mycobacterium ulcerans, the Causative Agent of Buruli Ulcer, in the Environment in Ghana.Microbial ecology · 2017Article
- Economic factors influencing zoonotic disease dynamics: demand for poultry meat and seasonal transmission of avian influenza in Vietnam.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- Global and local environmental changes as drivers of Buruli ulcer emergence.Emerging microbes & infections · 2017Review
- Deforestation-driven food-web collapse linked to emerging tropical infectious disease,Science advances · 2016Article
- Functional Diversity as a New Framework for Understanding the Ecology of an Emerging Generalist Pathogen.EcoHealth · 2016Article
- Environmental transmission of Mycobacterium ulcerans drives dynamics of Buruli ulcer in endemic regions of Cameroon.Scientific reports · 2015Article
- Seasonal Patterns of Buruli Ulcer Incidence, Central Africa, 2002-2012.Emerging infectious diseases · 2015Article
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Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Predominantly occurring in developing parts of the world, Buruli ulcer is a severely disabling mycobacterium infection which often leads to extensive necrosis of the skin. While the exact route of transmission remains uncertain, like many tropical diseases, associations with climate have been previously observed and could help identify the causative agent's ecological niche. In this paper, links between changes in rainfall and outbreaks of Buruli ulcer in French Guiana, an ultraperipheral European territory in the northeast of South America, were identified using a combination of statistical tests based on singular spectrum analysis, empirical mode decomposition and cross-wavelet coherence analysis. From this, it was possible to postulate for the first time that outbreaks of Buruli ulcer can be triggered by combinations of rainfall patterns occurring on a long (i.e., several years) and short (i.e., seasonal) temporal scale, in addition to stochastic events driven by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation that may disrupt or interact with these patterns. Long-term forecasting of rainfall trends further suggests the possibility of an upcoming outbreak of Buruli ulcer in French Guiana.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.