ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2015
Modelling Anopheles gambiae s.s. Population Dynamics with Temperature- and Age-Dependent Survival.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Warmer temperature accelerates senescence by modifying the aging-dependent changes in the mosquito transcriptome, altering immunity, metabolism, and DNA repair.Immunity & ageing : I & A · 2025Article
- Quantifying vector diversion effects in zoonotic systems: A modelling framework for arbovirus transmission between reservoir and dead-end hosts.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Adapting physics-informed neural networks to improve ODE optimization in mosquito population dynamics.PloS one · 2024Article
- A dynamically structured matrix population model for insect life histories observed under variable environmental conditions.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Differential Hatching, Development, Oviposition, and Longevity Patterns among ColombianInsects · 2022Article
- Age influences the thermal suitability ofProceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- Exposing Anopheles mosquitoes to antimalarials blocks Plasmodium parasite transmission.Nature · 2019Article
- Modelling the impact of larviciding on the population dynamics and biting rates of Simulium damnosum (s.l.): implications for vector control as a complementary strategy for onchocerciasis elimination in Africa.Parasites & vectors · 2018Article
- sPop: Age-structured discrete-time population dynamics model in C, Python, and R.F1000Research · 2018Article
- malERA: An updated research agenda for combination interventions and modelling in malaria elimination and eradication.PLoS medicine · 2017Review
- The importance of temperature fluctuations in understanding mosquito population dynamics and malaria risk.Royal Society open science · 2017Article
- Larval food quantity affects the capacity of adult mosquitoes to transmit human malaria.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2016Article
- Large-Scale Modelling of the Environmentally-Driven Population Dynamics of Temperate Aedes albopictus (Skuse).PloS one · 2016Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
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Abstract
Climate change and global warming are emerging as important threats to human health, particularly through the potential increase in vector- and water-borne diseases. Environmental variables are known to affect substantially the population dynamics and abundance of the poikilothermic vectors of disease, but the exact extent of this sensitivity is not well established. Focusing on malaria and its main vector in Africa, Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto, we present a set of novel mathematical models of climate-driven mosquito population dynamics motivated by experimental data suggesting that in An. gambiae, mortality is temperature and age dependent. We compared the performance of these models to that of a "standard" model ignoring age dependence. We used a longitudinal dataset of vector abundance over 36 months in sub-Saharan Africa for comparison between models that incorporate age dependence and one that does not, and observe that age-dependent models consistently fitted the data better than the reference model. This highlights that including age dependence in the vector component of mosquito-borne disease models may be important to predict more reliably disease transmission dynamics. Further data and studies are needed to enable improved fitting, leading to more accurate and informative model predictions for the An. gambiae malaria vector as well as for other disease vectors.
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