Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26025565›Full record

ReviewClinical trials (London, England)2015

Measures of follow-up in time-to-event studies: Why provide them and what should they be?

Rebecca A Betensky

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Clinical trials (London, England), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Built environment interventions and physical activity levels: A systematic review.Biomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Twelve-month results of ab interno trabeculectomy with Kahook Dual Blade: an interventional, randomized, controlled clinical study.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2021
    Trial
  5. Article
  6. Visualization of Multi-indication Randomized Control Trial Evidence to Support Decision Making in Oncology: A Case Study on Bevacizumab.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2026
    Article
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  14. Observational
  15. Article
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  18. Estimation of the censoring distribution in clinical trials.Contemporary clinical trials communications · 2021
    Article
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Rebecca A BetenskyDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA betensky@hsph.harvard.edu.

Funding

Harvard Clinical and Translational Science CenterUL1TR001102 · NCATS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI NADLER, LEE MARSHALL · 2013 to 2017
$106.2M
THE ROLE OF ADVANCED CAA IN ALZHEIMER'S DEMENTIAP50AG005134 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HYMAN, BRADLEY T. · 1985 to 2018
$42.1M
Statistical Methods for Analysis of Failure Time DataR01CA075971 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI BETENSKY, REBECCA A. · 2003 to 2009
$1.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001102NCI NIH HHS R01 CA075971NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005134
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsThere is some consensus among authors of reports of clinical studies that a measure of follow-up time is informative for the interpretation of the Kaplan-Meier estimate of the survivor function of the event time of interest. Previous authors have suggested that length of follow-up is important to report because the findings of a study should be extracted from the time frame in which most of the subjects have had the event or have remained under observation. This time frame is where the Kaplan-Meier estimate is most stable. This concept of stability is relative to the potential maximum information about the event time distribution contained in the sample; it is not relative to the true, population survivor function. A measure of stability is useful for the interpretation of an interim analysis in which an immature survivor function is presented. Our interest in this article lies in characterizing the unobserved, complete follow-up Kaplan-Meier estimate based on the observed, partial follow-up estimate. Our focus is not on characterizing the true event time distribution relative to its estimate. The concept of stability has not been well-defined in the literature, which has led to inconsistency and lack of transparency across trials in their attempts to capture it through a variety of measures of follow-up.

methodsWe report the results of a survey of recent literature on cancer clinical trials and summarize whether follow-up is reported and if so, whether it is well-defined. We define commonly used measures of follow-up in clinical studies.

resultsWe explain how each measure should be assessed to evaluate the stability of the Kaplan-Meier estimate for the event, and we identify relationships among measures. We propose a new measure that better conveys the desired information about the stability of the current Kaplan-Meier estimate relative to one based on complete follow-up. We apply the proposed measure to a meningioma study for illustration.

conclusionIt is useful for reports of clinical studies to supplement Kaplan-Meier estimates with quantitative assessments of the stability of those estimates relative to the potential follow-up of study participants. We justify the use of one commonly used measure, and we propose a new measure that most directly accomplishes this goal.

Indexed as

Follow-Up StudiesSurvival AnalysisBiomedical ResearchClinical Trials as TopicHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateNeoplasmsCensoringclinical trialsobservation time

Identifiers

PMID26025565
PMCPMC4506242

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.