Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26022662›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2015

Dynamics of Pertussis Transmission in the United States.

F M G Magpantay, P Rohani

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  10. Review
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  13. Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2020
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Project Tycho 2.0: a repository to improve the integration and reuse of data for global population health.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2018
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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  19. Article
  20. Editorial: Epidemiology in History--Three Years Later.American journal of epidemiology · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

F M G Magpantay
P Rohani

Funding

Understanding Transmission with Integrated Genetic and Epidemiologic InferenceU54GM111274 · NIGMS · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI BEDFORD, TREVOR BC · 2014 to 2018
$12.5M
Integrating immunology, epidemiology, and evolution to understand and control perR01AI101155 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI KING, AARON A., ROHANI, PEJMAN · 2012 to 2016
$1.7M
NIAID NIH HHS 1R01AI101155NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI101155NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM111274NIGMS NIH HHS U54-GM111274
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Past patterns of infectious disease transmission set the stage on which modern epidemiologic dynamics are played out. Here, we present a comprehensive account of pertussis (whooping cough) transmission in the United States during the early vaccine era. We analyzed recently digitized weekly incidence records from Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports from 1938 to 1955, when the whole-cell pertussis vaccine was rolled out, and related them to contemporary patterns of transmission and resurgence documented in monthly incidence data from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. We found that, during the early vaccine era, pertussis epidemics in US states could be categorized as 1) annual, 2) initially annual and later multiennial, or 3) multiennial. States with predominantly annual cycles tended to have higher per capita birth rates, more household crowding, more children per family, and lower rates of school attendance than the states with multiennial cycles. Additionally, states that exhibited annual epidemics during 1938-1955 have had the highest recent (2001-2010) incidence, while those states that transitioned from annual cycles to multiennial cycles have had relatively low recent incidence. Our study provides an extensive picture of pertussis epidemiology in the United States dating back to the onset of vaccination, a back-story that could aid epidemiologists in understanding contemporary transmission patterns.

Indexed as

History, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansIncidencePertussis VaccinePublic Health SurveillanceUnited StatesWhooping CoughPertussis Vaccineearly vaccine erainterepidemic periodspertussissusceptible recruitmentvaccineswhooping cough

Identifiers

PMID26022662
PMCPMC4462337

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.