Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26022318›Full record

ArticleAmbio2015

Projected future climate change and Baltic Sea ecosystem management.

Agneta Andersson, H E Markus Meier, Matyas Ripszam, Owen Rowe, Johan Wikner, Peter Haglund, Kari Eilola, Catherine Legrand, Daniela Figueroa, Joanna Paczkowska and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ambio, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  9. Water quality-fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem-based management.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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  18. Population dynamics of Baltic herring since the Viking Age revealed by ancient DNA and genomics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Agneta AnderssonDepartment of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden, agneta.andersson@umu.se.
H E Markus Meier
Matyas Ripszam
Owen Rowe
Johan Wikner
Peter Haglund
Kari Eilola
Catherine Legrand
Daniela Figueroa
Joanna Paczkowska
Elin Lindehoff
Mats Tysklind
Ragnar Elmgren

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is likely to have large effects on the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Simulations indicate 2-4 °C warming and 50-80 % decrease in ice cover by 2100. Precipitation may increase ~30 % in the north, causing increased land runoff of allochthonous organic matter (AOM) and organic pollutants and decreased salinity. Coupled physical-biogeochemical models indicate that, in the south, bottom-water anoxia may spread, reducing cod recruitment and increasing sediment phosphorus release, thus promoting cyanobacterial blooms. In the north, heterotrophic bacteria will be favored by AOM, while phytoplankton production may be reduced. Extra trophic levels in the food web may increase energy losses and consequently reduce fish production. Future management of the Baltic Sea must consider the effects of climate change on the ecosystem dynamics and functions, as well as the effects of anthropogenic nutrient and pollutant load. Monitoring should have a holistic approach, encompassing both autotrophic (phytoplankton) and heterotrophic (e.g., bacterial) processes.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemPhytoplankton

Identifiers

PMID26022318
PMCPMC4447695

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.