ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2015
Modeling the geographic spread of rabies in China.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.
- A spatiotemporal transmission simulator for respiratory infectious diseases and its application to COVID-19.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Combatting rabies outbreaks in Vietnam: High time to enforce restrictions on dog meat farming, a key source of transmission.IJID regions · 2024Review
- Dynamic analysis of rabies transmission and elimination in mainland China.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- Natural Mediterranean Spotted Fever Foci, Qingdao, China.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Epidemiological and numerical simulation of rabies spreading from canines to various human populations in mainland China.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Mathematical modelling and phylodynamics for the study of dog rabies dynamics and control: A scoping review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Article
- Origin and transmission of Feline coronavirus type I in domestic cats from Northern Italy: a phylogeographic approach.Veterinary microbiology · 2020Article
- Exhaustive Exercise Does Not Affect Humoral Immunity and Protection after Rabies Vaccination in a Mouse Model.Virologica Sinica · 2018Article
- Incidence of human rabies and characterization of rabies virus nucleoprotein gene in dogs in Fujian Province, Southeast China, 2002-2012.BMC infectious diseases · 2017Article
- Spatiotemporal epidemic models for rabies among animals.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2017Review
- Modeling the transmission dynamics and control of rabies in China.Mathematical biosciences · 2017Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In order to investigate how the movement of dogs affects the geographically inter-provincial spread of rabies in Mainland China, we propose a multi-patch model to describe the transmission dynamics of rabies between dogs and humans, in which each province is regarded as a patch. In each patch the submodel consists of susceptible, exposed, infectious, and vaccinated subpopulations of both dogs and humans and describes the spread of rabies among dogs and from infectious dogs to humans. The existence of the disease-free equilibrium is discussed, the basic reproduction number is calculated, and the effect of moving rates of dogs between patches on the basic reproduction number is studied. To investigate the rabies virus clades lineages, the two-patch submodel is used to simulate the human rabies data from Guizhou and Guangxi, Hebei and Fujian, and Sichuan and Shaanxi, respectively. It is found that the basic reproduction number of the two-patch model could be larger than one even if the isolated basic reproduction number of each patch is less than one. This indicates that the immigration of dogs may make the disease endemic even if the disease dies out in each isolated patch when there is no immigration. In order to reduce and prevent geographical spread of rabies in China, our results suggest that the management of dog markets and trades needs to be regulated, and transportation of dogs has to be better monitored and under constant surveillance.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.