Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26016488›Full record

SynthesisBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2015

Deviation from intention to treat analysis in randomised trials and treatment effect estimates: meta-epidemiological study.

Iosief Abraha, Antonio Cherubini, Francesco Cozzolino, Rita De Florio, Maria Laura Luchetta, Joseph M Rimland, Ilenia Folletti, Mauro Marchesi, Antonella Germani, Massimiliano Orso and 2 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 74 papers, 24 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
74citing papers in PubMed, 24 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

74 citing papers in PubMed, 24 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. Effects of isoflavone interventions on bone mineral density in postmenopausal women: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Pooled it
  8. Simulated presence therapy for dementia.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2020
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  14. Laparoscopic versus open resection for sigmoid diverticulitis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2017
    Pooled it
  15. Exercise interventions for cerebral palsy.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2017
    Pooled it
  16. Simulated presence therapy for dementia.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2017
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  20. Methodological quality of behavioural weight loss studies: a systematic review.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2016
    Pooled it

14 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Iosief AbrahaHealth Planning Service, Regional Health Authority of Umbria, Department of Epidemiology, 06124 Perugia, Italy iosief_a@yahoo.it.
Antonio CherubiniGeriatrics and Geriatric Emergency Care, Italian National Research Centre on Aging Ancona, Italy.
Francesco CozzolinoHealth Planning Service, Regional Health Authority of Umbria, Department of Epidemiology, 06124 Perugia, Italy.
Rita De FlorioGeneral Medicine, Azienda USL Umbria 2, Terni, Italy.
Maria Laura LuchettaGeneral Medicine, Azienda USL Umbria 1, Perugia.
Joseph M RimlandGeriatrics and Geriatric Emergency Care, Italian National Research Centre on Aging Ancona, Italy.
Ilenia FollettiDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Perugia, Perugia.
Mauro MarchesiTransfusion Medicine Service, Azienda Ospedaliera di Perugia, Perugia.
Antonella GermaniTransfusion Medicine Service, Azienda Ospedaliera di Perugia, Perugia.
Massimiliano OrsoHealth Planning Service, Regional Health Authority of Umbria, Department of Epidemiology, 06124 Perugia, Italy.
Paolo EusebiHealth Planning Service, Regional Health Authority of Umbria, Department of Epidemiology, 06124 Perugia, Italy.
Alessandro MontedoriHealth Planning Service, Regional Health Authority of Umbria, Department of Epidemiology, 06124 Perugia, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine whether deviation from the standard intention to treat analysis has an influence on treatment effect estimates of randomised trials.

designMeta-epidemiological study. DATA SOURCES: Medline, via PubMed, searched between 2006 and 2010; 43 systematic reviews of interventions and 310 randomised trials were included. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: From each year searched, random selection of 5% of intervention reviews with a meta-analysis that included at least one trial that deviated from the standard intention to treat approach. Basic characteristics of the systematic reviews and randomised trials were extracted. Information on the reporting of intention to treat analysis, outcome data, risk of bias items, post-randomisation exclusions, and funding were extracted from each trial. Trials were classified as: ITT (reporting the standard intention to treat approach), mITT (reporting a deviation from the standard approach), and no ITT (reporting no approach). Within each meta-analysis, treatment effects were compared between mITT and ITT trials, and between mITT and no ITT trials. The ratio of odds ratios was calculated (value <1 indicated larger treatment effects in mITT trials than in other trial categories).

results50 meta-analyses and 322 comparisons of randomised trials (from 84 ITT trials, 118 mITT trials, and 108 no ITT trials; 12 trials contributed twice to the analysis) were examined. Compared with ITT trials, mITT trials showed a larger intervention effect (pooled ratio of odds ratios 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.71 to 0.96), P=0.01; between meta-analyses variance τ(2)=0.13). Adjustments for sample size, type of centre, funding, items of risk of bias, post-randomisation exclusions, and variance of log odds ratio yielded consistent results (0.80 (0.69 to 0.94), P=0.005; τ(2)=0.08). After exclusion of five influential studies, results remained consistent (0.85 (0.75 to 0.98); τ(2)=0.08). The comparison between mITT trials and no ITT trials showed no statistical difference between the two groups (adjusted ratio of odds ratios 0.92 (0.70 to 1.23); τ(2)=0.57).

conclusionsTrials that deviated from the intention to treat analysis showed larger intervention effects than trials that reported the standard approach. Where an intention to treat analysis is impossible to perform, authors should clearly report who is included in the analysis and attempt to perform multiple imputations.

Indexed as

BiasIntention to Treat AnalysisRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicEpidemiologic StudiesHumansOdds RatioTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID26016488
PMCPMC4445790

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.