ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2015
Estimating risks of heat strain by age and sex: a population-level simulation model.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- An Umbrella Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses on Occupational Heat Exposure, Health Risks, and Productivity Losses Globally.Current environmental health reports · 2026Pooled it
- The molecular signature of heat stress in sweat reveals non-invasive biomarker candidates for health monitoring.Communications biology · 2025Article
- Negotiating household heat: thermal labor, energy justice, and women's health in Nepal's Madhesh Province.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- A century of exercise physiology: concepts that ignited the study of human thermoregulation. Part 3: Heat and cold tolerance during exercise.European journal of applied physiology · 2024Review
- Heat Exposure, Heat-Related Symptoms and Coping Strategies among Elderly Residents of Urban Slums and Rural Vilages in West Bengal, India.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Influence of the Thermal Environment on Occupational Health and Safety in Automotive Industry: A Case Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Individually experienced heat stress among elderly residents of an urban slum and rural village in India.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Article
- Development of a personal heat strain risk assessment (PHSRA) index in workplaces and its validation.BMC public health · 2020Article
- Opportunities and Challenges for Personal Heat Exposure Research.Environmental health perspectives · 2017Article
- The Impact of Heat Waves on Occurrence and Severity of Construction Accidents.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
- A Conceptual Framework for Planning Systemic Human Adaptation to Global Warming.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Individuals living in hot climates face health risks from hyperthermia due to excessive heat. Heat strain is influenced by weather exposure and by individual characteristics such as age, sex, body size, and occupation. To explore the population-level drivers of heat strain, we developed a simulation model that scales up individual risks of heat storage (estimated using Myrup and Morgan's man model "MANMO") to a large population. Using Australian weather data, we identify high-risk weather conditions together with individual characteristics that increase the risk of heat stress under these conditions. The model identifies elevated risks in children and the elderly, with females aged 75 and older those most likely to experience heat strain. Risk of heat strain in males does not increase as rapidly with age, but is greatest on hot days with high solar radiation. Although cloudy days are less dangerous for the wider population, older women still have an elevated risk of heat strain on hot cloudy days or when indoors during high temperatures. Simulation models provide a valuable method for exploring population level risks of heat strain, and a tool for evaluating public health and other government policy interventions.
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