Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25992639›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Modeling of In-Utero and Intra-Partum Transmissions to Evaluate the Efficacy of Interventions for the Prevention of Perinatal HIV.

Patumrat Sripan, Sophie Le Coeur, Billy Amzal, Lily Ingsrisawang, Patrinee Traisathit, Nicole Ngo-Giang-Huong, Kenneth McIntosh, Tim R Cressey, Suraphan Sangsawang, Boonsong Rawangban and 5 more

Erratum issued 3 registry-linked trialsOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to 3 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00386230 phase3completednot on this map

Short ZDV Course to Prevent Perinatal HIV in Thailand

TypeinterventionalSponsorInstitut de Recherche pour le DeveloppementRan1997 to 2000Enrolled1,554ConditionsHIV Infections, PregnancyArmsZDV Short (mother)-Short (infant): Comparison of zidovudine durations, ZDV Short (mother)-Long (infant): Comparison of zidovudine durations, ZDV Long (mother)-Short (infant): Comparison of zidovudine durations, ZDV Long (mother)-Long (infant): Comparison of zidovudine durations
NCT00398684 phase3completednot on this map

Nevirapine Plus Zidovudine to Prevent Perinatal HIV in Thailand

TypeinterventionalSponsorInstitut de Recherche pour le DeveloppementRan2001 to 2004Enrolled1,792ConditionsHIV Infections, PregnancyArmsSingle dose nevirapine to the mother and to the child, Single dose nevirapine to the mother and placebo to the child, Single dose placebo to the mother and to the child
NCT00409591 phase3terminatednot on this map

Maternal and Infant Peripartum Nevirapine, Versus Infant Only Peripartum Nevirapine, or Maternal Lopinavir/Ritonavir in Addition to Standard Zidovudine Prophylaxis for the Prevention of Perinatal HIV in Thailand.

TypeinterventionalSponsorInstitut de Recherche pour le DeveloppementRan2008 to 2015Enrolled435ConditionsHIV Infections, PregnancyArmsMaternal and infant nevirapine, Maternal placebo and infant nevirapine, Maternal lopinavir+ritonavir, zidovudine
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Clinical-Epidemiological Characteristics andLife (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Mother-to-Child HIV Transmission With In Utero Dolutegravir vs. Efavirenz in Botswana.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2020
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Optimizing Clinical Trial Design to Maximize Evidence Generation in Pediatric HIV.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2018
    Article
  8. Optimizing Research to Speed Up Availability of Pediatric Antiretroviral Drugs and Formulations.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2017
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 10 institutions in 3 countries.

Patumrat SripanDepartment of Statistics, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand; Institut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Ecole Doctorale de Santé Publique, Université Paris-Sud, Paris, France.
Sophie Le CoeurInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Department of Medical Technology, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand; Institut d'Etudes Démographiques, Paris, France.
Billy AmzalInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; LASER Analytica, London, United Kingdom.
Lily IngsrisawangDepartment of Statistics, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Patrinee TraisathitDepartment of Statistics, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Nicole Ngo-Giang-HuongInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Department of Medical Technology, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Kenneth McIntoshBoston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States of America; Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Tim R CresseyInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Department of Medical Technology, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Suraphan SangsawangHealth Promotion Center Region 10, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Boonsong RawangbanNopparat Rajathanee Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand.
Prateep KanjanavikaiBanglamung Hospital, Chonburi, Thailand.
Jean-Marc TréluyerEAU08 Université Paris Descartes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France; Unité de Recherche Clinique, AP-HP, Hôpital Tarnier, Paris, France; CIC1419 INSERM, Cochin-Necker, Paris, France.
Gonzague JourdainInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Department of Medical Technology, Faculty of Associated Medical Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Marc LallemantInstitut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) UMI 174-PHPT, Marseille, France; Department of Medical Technology, Faculty of Associated Medical Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Saïk UrienEAU08 Université Paris Descartes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France; Unité de Recherche Clinique, AP-HP, Hôpital Tarnier, Paris, France; CIC1419 INSERM, Cochin-Necker, Paris, France.
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement · FRChiang Mai University · THChonburi Hospital · THDélégation Paris 5 · FRHarvard University · USInserm · FRKasetsart University · THNopparat Rajathanee Hospital · THThai Health Promotion Foundation · THUniversité Paris-Sud · FR

Funding

NEVIRAPINE+ZIDOVUDINE--PREVENT PERINATAL HIV IN THAILANDR01HD039615 · NICHD · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI LALLEMANT, MARC J · 2000 to 2002
$3.7M
Standard zidovudine plus infant nevirapine to prevent perinatal HIV in ThailandR01HD052461 · NICHD · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LALLEMANT, MARC J · 2006 to 2010
$3.5M
Lopinavir/ritonavir + zidovudine to prevent perinatal HIV in ThailandR01HD056953 · NICHD · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LALLEMANT, MARC J · 2007 to 2013
$2.0M
SHORT ZDV COURSE TO PREVENT PERINATAL HIV IN THAILANDR01HD033326 · NICHD · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI LALLEMANT, MARC J · 1996 to 2000
$368k
NICHD NIH HHS 5 R01 HD 33326NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD033326NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD039615NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD052461NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD056953NICHD NIH HHS R01HD056953NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD 39615PHS HHS NICHD R01HD052461
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAntiretroviral treatments decrease HIV mother-to-child transmission through pre/post exposure prophylaxis and reduction of maternal viral load. We modeled in-utero and intra-partum HIV transmissions to investigate the preventive role of various antiretroviral treatments interventions.

methodsWe analysed data from 3,759 women-infant pairs enrolled in 3 randomized clinical trials evaluating (1) zidovudine monotherapy, (2) zidovudine plus perinatal single-dose nevirapine or (3) zidovudine plus lopinavir/ritonavir for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Thailand. All infants were formula-fed. Non-linear mixed effect modeling was used to express the viral load evolution under antiretroviral treatments and the probability of transmission.

resultsMedian viral load was 4 log10 copies/mL (Interquartile range: 3.36-4.56) before antiretroviral treatments initiation. An Emax model described the viral load time-course during pregnancy. Half of the maximum effect of zidovudine (28% decrease) and lopinavir/ritonavir (72% decrease) were achieved after 98 and 12 days, respectively. Adjusted on viral load at baseline (Odds ratio = 1.50 [95% confidence interval: 1.34, 1.68] per log10 copies/mL increment), antiretroviral treatments duration (OR = 0.80 [0.75, 0.84] per week increment) but not the nature of antiretroviral treatments were associated with in-utero transmission. Adjusted on gestational age at delivery (<37 weeks, OR = 2.37 [1.37, 4.10]), baseline CD4 (Odds ratio = 0.79 [0.72, 0.88] per 100 cells/mm3 increment) and predicted viral load at delivery (OR = 1.47 [1.25, 1.64] per log10 copies/mL increment), single-dose nevirapine considerably reduced intra-partum transmission (OR = 0.32 [0.2, 0.51]).

conclusionThese models determined the respective contributions of various antiretroviral strategies on prevention of mother-to-child transmission. This can help predict the efficacy of new antiretroviral treatments and/or prevention of mother-to-child transmission strategies particularly for women with no or late antenatal care who are at high risk of transmitting HIV to their offspring.

trial registrationThis analysis is based on secondary data obtained from three clinical trials. ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT00386230, NCT00398684, NCT00409591.

Indexed as

Infectious Disease Transmission, VerticalModels, TheoreticalFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansInfantPregnancyViral Load

Identifiers

PMID25992639
PMCPMC4438074
OpenAlexW1957579202

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.