ArticlePloS one2015
Urban-hazard risk analysis: mapping of heat-related risks in the elderly in major Italian cities.
Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Is home where the heat is? comparing residence-based with mobility-based measures of heat exposure in San Diego, California.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2025Article
- Evaluating the socioeconomic benefits of heat-health warning systems.European journal of public health · 2025Article
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- Diurnal urban heat risk assessment using extreme air temperatures and real-time population data in Seoul.iScience · 2023Article
- The Utilization of the WMO-1234 Guidance to Improve Citizen's Wellness and Health: An Italian Perspective.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Spatiotemporal Variation Analysis of the Fine-Scale Heat Wave Risk along the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway in Indonesia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- A Raster-Based Subdividing Indicator to Map Urban Heat Vulnerability: A Case Study in Sydney, Australia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Article
- Applications of Space Technologies to Global Health: Scoping Review.Journal of medical Internet research · 2018Article
- Climate change, heat, and mortality in the tropical urban area of San Juan, Puerto Rico.International journal of biometeorology · 2018Article
- A heat vulnerability index to improve urban public health management in San Juan, Puerto Rico.International journal of biometeorology · 2018Article
- Social Interventions to Prevent Heat-Related Mortality in the Older Adult in Rome, Italy: A Quasi-Experimental Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Article
- Satellite Remote Sensing for Coastal Management: A Review of Successful Applications.Environmental management · 2017Review
- Delineation of Spatial Variability in the Temperature-Mortality Relationship on Extremely Hot Days in Greater Vancouver, Canada.Environmental health perspectives · 2017Article
- A Spatial Framework to Map Heat Health Risks at Multiple Scales.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015Article
- On the Science-Policy Bridge: Do Spatial Heat Vulnerability Assessment Studies Influence Policy?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundShort-term impacts of high temperatures on the elderly are well known. Even though Italy has the highest proportion of elderly citizens in Europe, there is a lack of information on spatial heat-related elderly risks.
objectivesDevelopment of high-resolution, heat-related urban risk maps regarding the elderly population (≥ 65).
methodsA long time-series (2001-2013) of remote sensing MODIS data, averaged over the summer period for eleven major Italian cities, were downscaled to obtain high spatial resolution (100 m) daytime and night-time land surface temperatures (LST). LST was estimated pixel-wise by applying two statistical model approaches: 1) the Linear Regression Model (LRM); 2) the Generalized Additive Model (GAM). Total and elderly population density data were extracted from the Joint Research Centre population grid (100 m) from the 2001 census (Eurostat source), and processed together using "Crichton's Risk Triangle" hazard-risk methodology for obtaining a Heat-related Elderly Risk Index (HERI).
resultsThe GAM procedure allowed for improved daytime and night-time LST estimations compared to the LRM approach. High-resolution maps of daytime and night-time HERI levels were developed for inland and coastal cities. Urban areas with the hazardous HERI level (very high risk) were not necessarily characterized by the highest temperatures. The hazardous HERI level was generally localized to encompass the city-centre in inland cities and the inner area in coastal cities. The two most dangerous HERI levels were greater in the coastal rather than inland cities.
conclusionsThis study shows the great potential of combining geospatial technologies and spatial demographic characteristics within a simple and flexible framework in order to provide high-resolution urban mapping of daytime and night-time HERI. In this way, potential areas for intervention are immediately identified with up-to-street level details. This information could support public health operators and facilitate coordination for heat-related emergencies.
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