ArticlePloS one2015
Projection of young-old and old-old with functional disability: does accounting for the changing educational composition of the elderly population make a difference?
Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Cognitive Frailty and Functional Disability Among Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review.Innovation in aging · 2023Review
- Using multiple imputation and intervention-based scenarios to project the mobility of older adults.BMC geriatrics · 2022Article
- Trends in functional disability and cognitive impairment among the older adult in China up to 2060: estimates from a dynamic multi-state population model.BMC geriatrics · 2021Article
- Sitting time and associated factors among Portuguese older adults: results from Nutrition UP 65.European journal of ageing · 2020Article
- 40-Year Projections of Disability and Social Isolation of Older Adults for Long-Range Policy Planning in Singapore.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Predictive Validity of a New Instrumental Activities of Daily Living Scale for Detecting the Incidence of Functional Disability among Community-Dwelling Older Japanese Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- The Long-Term Impact of Functional Disability on Hospitalization Spending in Singapore.Journal of the economics of ageing · 2019Article
- Potentially Inappropriate Prescribing of Oral Solid Medications in Elderly Dysphagic Patients.Pharmaceutics · 2018Article
- The relationship and mechanism between education and functional health status transition among older persons in China.BMC geriatrics · 2018Article
- Investigating Discontinuity of Age Relations in Cognitive Functioning, General Health Status, Activity Participation, and Life Satisfaction between Young-Old and Old-Old Age.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2016Article
- Which type of social activities may reduce cognitive decline in the elderly?: a longitudinal population-based study.BMC geriatrics · 2016Article
- Patient-Centered Outcomes Research and Patient-Centered Care for Older Adults: A Perspective.Gerontology & geriatric medicineArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This study compares projections, up to year 2040, of young-old (aged 60-79) and old-old (aged 80+) with functional disability in Singapore with and without accounting for the changing educational composition of the Singaporean elderly. Two multi-state population models, with and without accounting for educational composition respectively, were developed, parameterized with age-gender-(education)-specific transition probabilities (between active, functional disability and death states) estimated from two waves (2009 and 2011) of a nationally representative survey of community-dwelling Singaporeans aged ≥ 60 years (N=4,990). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis with the bootstrap method was used to obtain the 95% confidence interval of the transition probabilities. Not accounting for educational composition overestimated the young-old with functional disability by 65 percent and underestimated the old-old by 20 percent in 2040. Accounting for educational composition, the proportion of old-old with functional disability increased from 40.8 percent in 2000 to 64.4 percent by 2040; not accounting for educational composition, the proportion in 2040 was 49.4 percent. Since the health profiles, and hence care needs, of the old-old differ from those of the young-old, health care service utilization and expenditure and the demand for formal and informal caregiving will be affected, impacting health and long-term care policy.
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