Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25971438›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2015

Changes in Depressive Symptoms and Incidence of First Stroke Among Middle-Aged and Older US Adults.

Paola Gilsanz, Stefan Walter, Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen, Kristen K Patton, J Robin Moon, Benjamin D Capistrant, Jessica R Marden, Laura D Kubzansky, Ichiro Kawachi, M Maria Glymour

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Impact of Depressive Symptom Severity on Stroke Risk in a US Cohort of People with HIV.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Paola GilsanzDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (P.G., J.R.M., L.D.K., I.K., M.G.).
Stefan WalterDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco School of Medicine, San Francisco, CA (S.W., M.G.).
Eric J Tchetgen TchetgenDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (E.J.T.T.) Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (E.J.T.T.).
Kristen K PattonDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA (K.K.P.).
J Robin MoonBronx Partners for Healthy Communities, Bronx, NY (R.M.).
Benjamin D CapistrantDivision of Epidemiology & Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN (B.D.C.).
Jessica R MardenDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (P.G., J.R.M., L.D.K., I.K., M.G.).
Laura D KubzanskyDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (P.G., J.R.M., L.D.K., I.K., M.G.).
Ichiro KawachiDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (P.G., J.R.M., L.D.K., I.K., M.G.).
M Maria GlymourDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (P.G., J.R.M., L.D.K., I.K., M.G.) Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco School of Medicine, San Francisco, CA (S.W., M.G.).
Harvard University · USThe Bronx Defenders · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
PUBLIC HEALTH TRAINING FOR UNDERREPRESENTED MINORITIESR25GM055353 · NIGMS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI KAWACHI, ICHIRO · 1998 to 2013
$6.8M
Spatial Analysis CoreR24HD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI RUGGLES, STEVE · 2001 to 2016
$4.1M
Training in Neurostatistics and NeuroepidemiologyT32NS048005 · NINDS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ONNELA, JUKKA-PEKKA · 2004 to 2018
$3.2M
Using GWAS Data for Enhanced Mendelian Randomization StudiesRC4MH092707 · NIMH · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI KUBZANSKY, LAURA D · 2010 to 2010
$1.5M
Short and long term depressive symptoms and arrhythmic pathways to strokeF31HL112613 · NHLBI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI GILSANZ, PAOLA · 2012 to 2013
$67k
NHLBI NIH HHS 1F31HL112613NIA NIH HHS R21 AG03438502NIA NIH HHS U01AG009740NICHD NIH HHS R24HD041023NIGMS NIH HHS 5R25GM055353NIMH NIH HHS 1RC4 MH092707NINDS NIH HHS T32 NS048005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough research has demonstrated that depressive symptoms predict stroke incidence, depressive symptoms are dynamic. It is unclear whether stroke risk persists if depressive symptoms remit. METHODS AND

resultsHealth and Retirement Study participants (n=16 178, stroke free and noninstitutionalized at baseline) were interviewed biennially from 1998 to 2010. Stroke and depressive symptoms were assessed through self-report of doctors' diagnoses and a modified Center for Epidemiologic Studies - Depression scale (high was ≥3 symptoms), respectively. We examined whether depressive symptom patterns, characterized across 2 successive interviews (stable low/no, onset, remitted, or stable high depressive symptoms) predicted incident stroke (1192 events) during the subsequent 2 years. We used marginal structural Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, health behaviors, chronic conditions, and attrition. We also estimated effects stratified by age (≥65 years), race or ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Hispanic), and sex. Stroke hazard was elevated among participants with stable high (adjusted hazard ratio 2.14, 95% CI 1.69 to 2.71) or remitted (adjusted hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.26) depressive symptoms compared with participants with stable low/no depressive symptoms. Stable high depressive symptom predicted stroke among all subgroups. Remitted depressive symptoms predicted increased stroke hazard among women (adjusted hazard ratio 1.86, 95% CI 1.30 to 2.66) and non-Hispanic white participants (adjusted hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.33) and was marginally associated among Hispanics (adjusted hazard ratio 2.36, 95% CI 0.98 to 5.67).

conclusionsIn this cohort, persistently high depressive symptoms were associated with increased stroke risk. Risk remained elevated even if depressive symptoms remitted over a 2-year period, suggesting cumulative etiologic mechanisms linking depression and stroke.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAgingDepressionFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSex FactorsStrokeTime Factorsdepressionepidemiologylongitudinal cohort studymarginal structural modelstroke

Identifiers

PMID25971438
PMCPMC4599421
OpenAlexW2161871511

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.