Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25962083›Full record

ArticleCritical care medicine2015

A Multibiomarker-Based Model for Estimating the Risk of Septic Acute Kidney Injury.

Hector R Wong, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Nick Anas, Geoffrey L Allen, Neal J Thomas, Michael T Bigham, Scott L Weiss, Julie Fitzgerald, Paul A Checchia, Keith Meyer and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Prognostic and predictive enrichment in sepsis.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2020
    Review
  12. Sepsis Biomarkers.Journal of pediatric intensive care · 2019
    Review
  13. Review
  14. A Two-Biomarker Model Predicts Mortality in the Critically Ill with Sepsis.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2017
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Monitoring Severity of Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome: New Technologies.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2017
    Review
  17. Article
  18. 2016 Update for the Rogers' Textbook of Pediatric Intensive Care: Recognition and Initial Management of Shock.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2016
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Could Biomarkers Direct Therapy for the Septic Patient?The Journal of pharmacology and experimental therapeutics · 2016
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Hector R Wong1Division of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, OH. 2Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH. 3Division of Critical Care Medicine, UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland, Oakland, CA. 4Division of Critical Care Medicine, Children's Hospital of Orange County, Orange, CA. 5Division of Critical Care Medicine, Children's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, MO. 6Division of Critical Care Medicine, Penn State Hershey Children's Hospital, Hershey, PA. 7Division of Critical Care Medicine, Akron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH. 8Division of Critical Care Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA. 9Division of Critical Care Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX. 10Division of Critical Care Medicine, Miami Children's Hospital, Miami, FL. 11Division of Critical Care Medicine, CS Mott Children's Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI. 12Division of Critical Care Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH. 13Division of Critical Care Medicine, Children's Hospital of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI. 14Division of Critical Care Medicine, Children's National Medical Center, Washington, DC. 15Division of Critical Care Medicine, Children's Hospital and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN. 16Division of Critical Care Medicine, Riley Hospital for Children, Indianapolis, IN. 17Division of Critical Care Medicine, Hackensack University Medical Center, Joseph M. Sanzari Children's Hospital, Hackensack, NJ. 18Division of Critical Care Medicine, The University of Chicago Comer Children's Hospital, Chicago, IL. 19Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH.
Natalie Z Cvijanovich
Nick Anas
Geoffrey L Allen
Neal J Thomas
Michael T Bigham
Scott L Weiss
Julie Fitzgerald
Paul A Checchia
Keith Meyer
Thomas P Shanley
Michael Quasney
Mark Hall
Rainer Gedeit
Robert J Freishtat
Jeffrey Nowak
Shekhar S Raj
Shira Gertz
Emily Dawson
Kelli Howard
Kelli Harmon
Patrick Lahni
Erin Frank
Kimberly W Hart
Christopher J Lindsell

Funding

LCenter for Clinical and Translational Science and TrainingUL1TR001425 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., KISSELA, BRETT M · 2015 to 2024
$37.5M
Pediatric Critical Care Scientist Development ProgramK12HD047349 · NICHD · UTAH STATE HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM--UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI HEATHER T. KEENAN, Kevin M Watt · 2004 to 2026
$17.0M
Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingUL1TR000077 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$9.9M
Genomic analysis of pediatric SIRS and septic shockR01GM064619 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2003 to 2009
$3.0M
Novel diagnostic and stratification tools for septic shockR01GM108025 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2014 to 2017
$2.3M
Stratification of pediatric septic shockR01GM099773 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2012 to 2015
$1.5M
NCATS NIH HHS 8UL1 TR000077NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000077NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001425NICHD NIH HHS K12 HD047349NICHD NIH HHS K12HD047349NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM064619NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM064619NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM108025NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM108025
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe development of acute kidney injury in patients with sepsis is associated with worse outcomes. Identifying those at risk for septic acute kidney injury could help to inform clinical decision making. We derived and tested a multibiomarker-based model to estimate the risk of septic acute kidney injury in children with septic shock.

designCandidate serum protein septic acute kidney injury biomarkers were identified from previous transcriptomic studies. Model derivation involved measuring these biomarkers in serum samples from 241 subjects with septic shock obtained during the first 24 hours of admission and then using a Classification and Regression Tree approach to estimate the probability of septic acute kidney injury 3 days after the onset of septic shock, defined as at least two-fold increase from baseline serum creatinine. The model was then tested in a separate cohort of 200 subjects.

settingMultiple PICUs in the United States.

interventionsNone other than standard care. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsThe decision tree included a first-level decision node based on day 1 septic acute kidney injury status and five subsequent biomarker-based decision nodes. The area under the curve for the tree was 0.95 (CI95, 0.91-0.99), with a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 88%. The tree was superior to day 1 septic acute kidney injury status alone for estimating day 3 septic acute kidney injury risk. In the test cohort, the tree had an area under the curve of 0.83 (0.72-0.95), with a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 77% and was also superior to day 1 septic acute kidney injury status alone for estimating day 3 septic acute kidney injury risk.

conclusionsWe have derived and tested a model to estimate the risk of septic acute kidney injury on day 3 of septic shock using a novel panel of biomarkers. The model had very good performance in a test cohort and has test characteristics supporting clinical utility and further prospective evaluation.

Indexed as

Intensive Care Units, PediatricAcute Kidney InjuryBiomarkersChildChild, PreschoolDecision TreesFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornKidney Function TestsMaleMatrix Metalloproteinase 8Models, TheoreticalMyeloblastinRisk AssessmentBiomarkersMatrix Metalloproteinase 8Myeloblastinpancreatic elastase IISerine Endopeptidases

Identifiers

PMID25962083
PMCPMC4667777

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.