Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25948563›Full record

ArticleGenetics2015

Evaluation of Ancestral Sequence Reconstruction Methods to Infer Nonstationary Patterns of Nucleotide Substitution.

Tomotaka Matsumoto, Hiroshi Akashi, Ziheng Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genetics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Dinucleotide preferences underlie apparent codon preference reversals in theProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  8. A Darwinian Uncertainty Principle.Systematic biology · 2020
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  11. Allele-specific nonstationarity in evolution of influenza A virus surface proteins.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
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  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Tomotaka MatsumotoDivision of Evolutionary Genetics, National Institute of Genetics, Mishima, Shizuoka 411-8540, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3456-7553
Hiroshi AkashiDivision of Evolutionary Genetics, National Institute of Genetics, Mishima, Shizuoka 411-8540, Japan Department of Genetics, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKENDAI), Mishima, Shizuoka 411-8540, Japan hiakashi@lab.nig.ac.jp z.yang@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5325-6999
Ziheng YangBeijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China Department of Genetics, Evolution, and Environment, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom hiakashi@lab.nig.ac.jp z.yang@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3351-7981

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Inference of gene sequences in ancestral species has been widely used to test hypotheses concerning the process of molecular sequence evolution. However, the approach may produce spurious results, mainly because using the single best reconstruction while ignoring the suboptimal ones creates systematic biases. Here we implement methods to correct for such biases and use computer simulation to evaluate their performance when the substitution process is nonstationary. The methods we evaluated include parsimony and likelihood using the single best reconstruction (SBR), averaging over reconstructions weighted by the posterior probabilities (AWP), and a new method called expected Markov counting (EMC) that produces maximum-likelihood estimates of substitution counts for any branch under a nonstationary Markov model. We simulated base composition evolution on a phylogeny for six species, with different selective pressures on G+C content among lineages, and compared the counts of nucleotide substitutions recorded during simulation with the inference by different methods. We found that large systematic biases resulted from (i) the use of parsimony or likelihood with SBR, (ii) the use of a stationary model when the substitution process is nonstationary, and (iii) the use of the Hasegawa-Kishino-Yano (HKY) model, which is too simple to adequately describe the substitution process. The nonstationary general time reversible (GTR) model, used with AWP or EMC, accurately recovered the substitution counts, even in cases of complex parameter fluctuations. We discuss model complexity and the compromise between bias and variance and suggest that the new methods may be useful for studying complex patterns of nucleotide substitution in large genomic data sets.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularModels, GeneticPhylogenyAnimalsBase CompositionBiasComputer SimulationDrosophilaGenomicsLikelihood FunctionsNucleotidesNucleotidesancestral reconstructioncodon usageGC contentnonstationary modelsnucleotide substitutionstochastic mapping

Identifiers

PMID25948563
PMCPMC4512549

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.