Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25944916›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2015

Covariation Is a Poor Measure of Molecular Coevolution.

David Talavera, Simon C Lovell, Simon Whelan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Protein Structural Phylogenetics.Genome biology and evolution · 2025
    Review
  4. PHACE: Phylogeny-Aware Detection of Molecular Coevolution.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Genomic Signatures of Mitonuclear Coevolution in Mammals.Molecular biology and evolution · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Simultaneous Bayesian inference of phylogeny and molecular coevolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Applications of sequence coevolution in membrane protein biochemistry.Biochimica et biophysica acta. Biomembranes · 2018
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

David TalaveraFaculty of Life Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom david.talavera@manchester.ac.uk.
Simon C LovellFaculty of Life Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Simon WhelanFaculty of Life Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom Evolutionary Biology Centre, Department of Ecology and Genetics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/H006818/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent developments in the analysis of amino acid covariation are leading to breakthroughs in protein structure prediction, protein design, and prediction of the interactome. It is assumed that observed patterns of covariation are caused by molecular coevolution, where substitutions at one site affect the evolutionary forces acting at neighboring sites. Our theoretical and empirical results cast doubt on this assumption. We demonstrate that the strongest coevolutionary signal is a decrease in evolutionary rate and that unfeasibly long times are required to produce coordinated substitutions. We find that covarying substitutions are mostly found on different branches of the phylogenetic tree, indicating that they are independent events that may or may not be attributable to coevolution. These observations undermine the hypothesis that molecular coevolution is the primary cause of the covariation signal. In contrast, we find that the pairs of residues with the strongest covariation signal tend to have low evolutionary rates, and that it is this low rate that gives rise to the covariation signal. Slowly evolving residue pairs are disproportionately located in the protein's core, which explains covariation methods' ability to detect pairs of residues that are close in three dimensions. These observations lead us to propose the "coevolution paradox": The strength of coevolution required to cause coordinated changes means the evolutionary rate is so low that such changes are highly unlikely to occur. As modern covariation methods may lead to breakthroughs in structural genomics, it is critical to recognize their biases and limitations.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularMarkov ChainsModels, GeneticMutation RatePhylogenyProtein FoldingProteinsProteinscoevolutioncovariationmolecular evolution

Identifiers

PMID25944916
PMCPMC4540965

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.