Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25941384›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2015

Sample and population exponents of generalized Taylor's law.

Andrea Giometto, Marco Formentin, Andrea Rinaldo, Joel E Cohen, Amos Maritan

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 84 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Universal abundance fluctuations across microbial communities, tropical forests, and urban populations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
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  7. Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling for semivariances and higher moments of heavy-tailed data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Taylor's Law in Innovation Processes.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Covariations in ecological scaling laws fostered by community dynamics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2017
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Synchrony affects Taylor's law in theory and data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2017
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Andrea GiomettoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; Department of Aquatic Ecology, Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, CH-8600 Dübendorf, Switzerland; andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch andrea.giometto@epfl.ch marco.formentin@ruhr-uni-bochum.de.
Marco FormentinDipartimento di Fisica ed Astronomia, Università di Padova, I-35131 Padova, Italy; Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, CZ-18208 Prague, Czech Republic; andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch andrea.giometto@epfl.ch marco.formentin@ruhr-uni-bochum.de.
Andrea RinaldoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile, Edile ed Ambientale, Università di Padova, I-35131 Padova, Italy; and andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch andrea.giometto@epfl.ch marco.formentin@ruhr-uni-bochum.de.
Joel E CohenLaboratory of Populations, The Rockefeller University and Columbia University, New York, NY 10065-6399.
Amos MaritanDipartimento di Fisica ed Astronomia, Università di Padova, I-35131 Padova, Italy;
University of Padua · ITCzech Academy of Sciences · CZRockefeller University · USSwiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Taylor's law (TL) states that the variance V of a nonnegative random variable is a power function of its mean M; i.e., V = aM(b). TL has been verified extensively in ecology, where it applies to population abundance, physics, and other natural sciences. Its ubiquitous empirical verification suggests a context-independent mechanism. Sample exponents b measured empirically via the scaling of sample mean and variance typically cluster around the value b = 2. Some theoretical models of population growth, however, predict a broad range of values for the population exponent b pertaining to the mean and variance of population density, depending on details of the growth process. Is the widely reported sample exponent b ≃ 2 the result of ecological processes or could it be a statistical artifact? Here, we apply large deviations theory and finite-sample arguments to show exactly that in a broad class of growth models the sample exponent is b ≃ 2 regardless of the underlying population exponent. We derive a generalized TL in terms of sample and population exponents b(jk) for the scaling of the kth vs. the jth cumulants. The sample exponent b(jk) depends predictably on the number of samples and for finite samples we obtain b(jk) ≃ k = j asymptotically in time, a prediction that we verify in two empirical examples. Thus, the sample exponent b ≃ 2 may indeed be a statistical artifact and not dependent on population dynamics under conditions that we specify exactly. Given the broad class of models investigated, our results apply to many fields where TL is used although inadequately understood.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalPopulation DynamicsEmpirical Researchenvironmental stochasticityfluctuation scalingMarkovian environmentmultiplicative growthpower law

Identifiers

PMID25941384
PMCPMC4485139
OpenAlexW2131661345

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.