Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25939487›Full record

ArticleLiver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society2015

Declining liver graft quality threatens the future of liver transplantation in the United States.

Eric S Orman, Maria E Mayorga, Stephanie B Wheeler, Rachel M Townsley, Hector H Toro-Diaz, Paul H Hayashi, A Sidney Barritt

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07651748 (Secretin Therapy During Ex-Situ Normothermic Liver Machine Perfusion), which is not on this map. Cited by 58 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
58citing papers in PubMed
11.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07651748 phase1 / phase2enrolling by invitationnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Secretin Therapy During Ex-Situ Normothermic Liver Machine Perfusion: A Critical Factor for Restoration of Bile Duct Physiology and the Protective "Bicarbonate Umbrella"

TypeinterventionalSponsorErasmus Medical CenterRan2025 to 2026Enrolled20ConditionsLiver TransplantationArmsSecretin administration during ex-situ liver machine perfusion
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

58 citing papers in PubMed, 130 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
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  12. Trends in Survival for Adult Organ Transplantation.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Liver Machine Perfusion-When Physiopathology Matters.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Sequential hypothermic and normothermic machine perfusion enables safe transplantation of high-risk donor livers.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2022
    Observational
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Eric S OrmanDepartment of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Maria E MayorgaDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC.
Stephanie B WheelerDepartment of Health Policy and Management, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Rachel M TownsleyDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC.
Hector H Toro-DiazDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC.
Paul H HayashiDepartment of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
A Sidney BarrittDepartment of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USNorth Carolina State University · USClemson University · USIndiana University Indianapolis

Funding

Quality Assurance and Quality Control Project Management: Improving Submissions and Study Conduct in the Human Subjects Research Prior Approval ProcessUL1TR002529 · NCATS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI MOE, SHARON M, WIEHE, SARAH ELIZABETH · 2018 to 2022
$27.2M
Indiana Clinical and Translational Sciences InstituteUL1TR001108 · NCATS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI DENNE, SCOTT C., SHEKHAR, ANANTHA · 2013 to 2017
$23.3M
UNC Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000083 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI RUNGE, MARSCHALL S. · 2012 to 2013
$11.6M
UNC Clinical Translation Science Award-K12 Scholars Program (KL2)KL2RR025746 · NCRR · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI RUNGE, MARSCHALL S. · 2008 to 2011
$9.0M
DIGESTIVE DISEASES EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007634 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT S. SANDLER · 1990 to 2026
$7.4M
Indiana Clinical and Translational Sciences InstituteKL2TR001106 · NCATS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI DENNE, SCOTT C., SHEKHAR, ANANTHA · 2013 to 2017
$3.2M
UNC Mentored Career Development Program in Comparative Effectiveness ResearchK12HS019468 · AHRQ · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WEINBERGER, MORRIS · 2010 to 2010
$2.0M
AHRQ HHS 1-K12 HS019468-01AHRQ HHS K12 HS019468NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001106NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000083NCATS NIH HHS UL1-TR000083NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001108NCRR NIH HHS KL2 RR025746NCRR NIH HHS KL2-RR025746NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007634NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK07634PHS HHS 231-00-0115
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

National liver transplantation (LT) volume has declined since 2006, in part because of worsening donor organ quality. Trends that degrade organ quality are expected to continue over the next 2 decades. We used the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database to inform a 20-year discrete event simulation estimating LT volume from 2010 to 2030. Data to inform the model were obtained from deceased organ donors between 2000 and 2009. If donor liver utilization practices remain constant, utilization will fall from 78% to 44% by 2030, resulting in 2230 fewer LTs. If transplant centers increase their risk tolerance for marginal grafts, utilization would decrease to 48%. The institution of "opt-out" organ donation policies to increase the donor pool would still result in 1380 to 1866 fewer transplants. Ex vivo perfusion techniques that increase the use of marginal donor livers may stabilize LT volume. Otherwise, the number of LTs in the United States will decrease substantially over the next 15 years. In conclusion, the transplant community will need to accept inferior grafts and potentially worse posttransplant outcomes and/or develop new strategies for increasing organ donation and utilization in order to maintain the number of LTs at the current level.

Indexed as

AdultComputer SimulationDatabases, FactualDonor SelectionFemaleForecastingGraft SurvivalHealth Care RationingHealth Services Needs and DemandHumansLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalNeeds AssessmentPostoperative Complications

Identifiers

PMID25939487
PMCPMC4566853
OpenAlexW2138780655

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.