Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25923664›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

The use of a chronic disease and risk factor surveillance system to determine the age, period and cohort effects on the prevalence of obesity and diabetes in South Australian adults--2003-2013.

Anne W Taylor, Zumin Shi, Alicia Montgomerie, Eleonora Dal Grande, Stefano Campostrini

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Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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  5. The Contribution of Ageing to Hospitalisation Days in Hong Kong: A Decomposition Analysis.International journal of health policy and management · 2017
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Anne W TaylorPopulation Research & Outcome Studies, Discipline of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; Ca' Foscari University, Venice, Italy.
Zumin ShiPopulation Research & Outcome Studies, Discipline of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Alicia MontgomeriePopulation Research & Outcome Studies, Discipline of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Eleonora Dal GrandePopulation Research & Outcome Studies, Discipline of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Stefano CampostriniCa' Foscari University, Venice, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAge, period and cohort (APC) analyses, using representative, population-based descriptive data, provide additional understanding behind increased prevalence rates.

methodsData on obesity and diabetes from the South Australian (SA) monthly chronic disease and risk factor surveillance system from July 2002 to December 2013 (n = 59,025) were used. Age was the self-reported age of the respondent at the time of the interview. Period was the year of the interview and cohort was age subtracted from the survey year. Cohort years were 1905 to 1995. All variables were treated as continuous. The age-sex standardised prevalence for obesity and diabetes was calculated using the Australia 2011 census. The APC models were constructed with ''apcfit'' in Stata.

resultsThe age-sex standardised prevalence of obesity and diabetes increased in 2002-2013 from 18.6% to 24.1% and from 6.2% to 7.9%. The peak age for obesity was approximately 70 years with a steady increasing rate from 20 to 70 years of age. The peak age for diabetes was approximately 80 years. There were strong cohort effects and no period effects for both obesity and diabetes. The magnitude of the cohort effect is much more pronounced for obesity than for diabetes.

conclusionThe APC analyses showed a higher than expected peak age for both obesity and diabetes, strong cohort effects with an acceleration of risk after 1960s for obesity and after 1940s for diabetes, and no period effects. By simultaneously considering the effects of age, period and cohort we have provided additional evidence for effective public health interventions.

Indexed as

Health SurveysAdultAgedAustraliaBody Mass IndexCohort EffectCohort StudiesDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedObesityRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID25923664
PMCPMC4414468

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.