Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25904374›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2015

Development and validation of the San Diego Early Test Score to predict acute and early HIV infection risk in men who have sex with men.

Martin Hoenigl, Nadir Weibel, Sanjay R Mehta, Christy M Anderson, Jeffrey Jenks, Nella Green, Sara Gianella, Davey M Smith, Susan J Little

Open access · bronzeAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 74 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
74citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

74 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 106 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Machine learning for personalized risk assessment of HIV, syphilis, gonorrhoea and chlamydia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2025
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14 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Martin HoeniglDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego Section of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine Division of Pulmonology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Austria.
Nadir WeibelDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego.
Sanjay R MehtaDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego Veterans Affairs Healthcare System, San Diego, California.
Christy M AndersonDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego.
Jeffrey JenksDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego.
Nella GreenDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego.
Sara GianellaDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego.
Davey M SmithDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego Veterans Affairs Healthcare System, San Diego, California.
Susan J LittleDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Diego.
University of California, San Diego · USHospital for Tropical Diseases · VN

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Maile Ann Young Karris · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
STRUCTURAL NEUROIMAGING COREP30MH062512 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI DAVID J MOORE · 2001 to 2026
$50.4M
Primary Infection Resource Consortium (PIRC)R24AI106039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2013 to 2021
$23.1M
Interdisciplinary Research Fellowship in NeuroAIDSR25MH081482 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MARIANA CHERNER · 2007 to 2026
$5.2M
Molecular Epidemiology for HIV Prevention for Drug Users and Other Risk Groups DP1DA034978 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SMITH, DAVID MITCHELL · 2012 to 2016
$4.1M
Efficacy of ART to Interrupt HIV Transmission NetworksR01MH100974 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2014 to 2018
$3.2M
Mentoring Translational Research in HIVK24AI100665 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SMITH, DAVID MITCHELL · 2012 to 2021
$1.5M
Molecular Epidemiology of HIV-1 in the California-Mexico Border RegionK23AI093163 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MEHTA, SANJAY R · 2011 to 2015
$643k
NIAID NIH HHS AI036214NIAID NIH HHS AI093163NIAID NIH HHS AI100665NIAID NIH HHS AI106039NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI093163NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI100665NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI106039NIDA NIH HHS DA034978NIDA NIH HHS DP1 DA034978NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH100974NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH081482
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough men who have sex with men (MSM) represent a dominant risk group for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the risk of HIV infection within this population is not uniform. The objective of this study was to develop and validate a score to estimate incident HIV infection risk.

methodsAdult MSM who were tested for acute and early HIV (AEH) between 2008 and 2014 were retrospectively randomized 2:1 to a derivation and validation dataset, respectively. Using the derivation dataset, each predictor associated with an AEH outcome in the multivariate prediction model was assigned a point value that corresponded to its odds ratio. The score was validated on the validation dataset using C-statistics.

resultsData collected at a single HIV testing encounter from 8326 unique MSM were analyzed, including 200 with AEH (2.4%). Four risk behavior variables were significantly associated with an AEH diagnosis (ie, incident infection) in multivariable analysis and were used to derive the San Diego Early Test (SDET) score: condomless receptive anal intercourse (CRAI) with an HIV-positive MSM (3 points), the combination of CRAI plus ≥5 male partners (3 points), ≥10 male partners (2 points), and diagnosis of bacterial sexually transmitted infection (2 points)-all as reported for the prior 12 months. The C-statistic for this risk score was >0.7 in both data sets.

conclusionsThe SDET risk score may help to prioritize resources and target interventions, such as preexposure prophylaxis, to MSM at greatest risk of acquiring HIV infection. The SDET risk score is deployed as a freely available tool at http://sdet.ucsd.edu.

Indexed as

AdultHIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleRandom AllocationReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessmentacute and early HIVMSMrisk behaviorrisk score

Identifiers

PMID25904374
PMCPMC4542926
OpenAlexW2130338946

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.