Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25902817›Full record

Observational studyCritical care (London, England)2015

A single preoperative FGF23 measurement is a strong predictor of outcome in patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery: a prospective observational study.

Timo Speer, Heinrich V Groesdonk, Beate Zapf, Vanessa Buescher, Miriam Beyse, Laura Duerr, Stella Gewert, Patrizia Krauss, Aaron Poppleton, Stefan Wagenpfeil and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Critical care (London, England), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Timo SpeerDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. timo.speer@uks.eu.
Heinrich V GroesdonkDepartment of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Saarland University Medical Centre, Homburg/Saar, Germany. heinrich.groesdonk@uks.eu.
Beate ZapfDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. beate.zapf@web.de.
Vanessa BuescherDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. quitscheentchen99@web.de.
Miriam BeyseDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. miriam_beyse@web.de.
Laura DuerrDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. lau.lau@gmx.net.
Stella GewertDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. stellagewert@googlemail.com.
Patrizia KraussDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. patriziakrauss@arcor.de.
Aaron PoppletonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. aaron.poppleton@gmail.com.
Stefan WagenpfeilInstitute for Medical Biometry, Epidemiology and applied Medical Informatics, Saarland University Medical Centre, Homburg/Saar, Germany. stefan.wagenpfeil@uks.eu.
Danilo FliserDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. danilo.fliser@uks.eu.
Hans-Joachim SchaefersDepartment of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Saarland University Medical Centre, Homburg/Saar, Germany. h-j.schaefers@uks.eu.
Matthias KlingeleDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Hypertension, Saarland University Medical Centre, Kirrberger Strasse, D-66424, Homburg/Saar, Germany. matthias.klingele@uks.eu.
Saarland University · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionSeveral scoring systems have been developed to predict postoperative mortality and complications in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. However, these computer-based calculations are time- and cost-intensive. A simple but highly predictive test for postoperative risk would be of clinical benefit with respect to increasingly scarce hospital resources. We therefore assessed the predictive power of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) measurement compared with an established scoring system.

methodsWe conducted a prospective interdisciplinary observational study at the Saarland University Medical Centre that included 859 patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery between January 2010 and March 2011 with a median follow-up after discharge of 822 days. We compared a single preoperative measurement of FGF23 as a prognostic tool with the 18 parameters comprising EuroSCORE II with respect to postoperative mortality, acute kidney injury, non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia, clinical course and long-term outcome.

resultsPreoperative FGF23 levels were highly predictive of postoperative outcome and complications. The predictive value of FGF23 for mortality in the receiver operating characteristic curve was greater than the EuroSCORE II (area under the curve: 0.800 versus 0.725). Moreover, preoperative FGF23 independently predicted postoperative acute kidney injury and non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia comparably to the EuroSCORE II. Finally, FGF23 was found to be an independent predictor of clinical course parameters, including duration of surgery, ventilation time and length of stay.

conclusionsIn patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery, a simple preoperative FGF23 measurement is a powerful indicator of surgical mortality, postoperative complications and long-term outcome. Its utility compares to the widely used EuroSCORE II.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersCardiac Surgical ProceduresCohort StudiesElective Surgical ProceduresFemaleFibroblast Growth Factor-23Fibroblast Growth FactorsFollow-Up StudiesHospital MortalityHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsBiomarkersFGF23 protein, humanFibroblast Growth Factor-23Fibroblast Growth Factors

Identifiers

PMID25902817
PMCPMC4424828
OpenAlexW2039920504

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.