Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25897658›Full record

ArticleBMC musculoskeletal disorders2015

Association between changes in lumbar Modic changes and low back symptoms over a two-year period.

Jyri Järvinen, Jaro Karppinen, Jaakko Niinimäki, Marianne Haapea, Mats Grönblad, Katariina Luoma, Eeva Rinne

Registry-linked trialAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04273828 (Impact of Muscle Degeneration in Chronic Ow Back Pain in Patients Undergoing Neural Decompression), which is not on this map. Cited by 57 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04273828 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Impact of Muscle Degeneration in Chronic Ow Back Pain in Patients Undergoing Neural Decompression

TypeobservationalSponsorHospital Israelita Albert EinsteinRan2020 to 2025Enrolled168ConditionsLumbar Spinal Stenosis, Lumbar Disc Herniation, Radiculopathy, Back PainArmsLumbar decompressive surgery
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Do Modic changes have an impact on clinical outcome in lumbar spine surgery? A systematic literature review.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2016
    Pooled it
  4. Pathobiology of Modic changes.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2016
    Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. IntradiscalJOR spine · 2026
    Article
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  8. Risk Factor Analysis of Residual Low Back Pain After Unilateral Biportal Endoscopic Discectomy in Patients With Lumbar Disc Herniation.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jyri JärvinenDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Institute of Diagnostics, Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland. jyri.jarvinen@ppshp.fi.
Jaro KarppinenCenter for Life Course Epidemiology and Systems Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland. jaro.karppinen@ttl.fi.
Jaakko NiinimäkiDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Institute of Diagnostics, Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland. jaakko.niinimaki@oulu.fi.
Marianne HaapeaDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Institute of Diagnostics, Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland. marianne.haapea@oulu.fi.
Mats GrönbladDepartment of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. mats.gronblad@hus.fi.
Katariina LuomaUniversity of Helsinki and HUS Imaging Center, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland. katariina.luoma@kolumbus.fi.
Eeva RinneDepartment of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. eeva.rinne@hus.fi.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe association of Modic changes (MC) with low back pain (LBP) is unclear. The purpose of our study was to investigate the associations between the extent of Type 1 (M1) and Type 2 (M2) MC and low back symptoms over a two-year period.

methodsThe subjects (n = 64, mean age 43.8 y; 55 [86%] women) were consecutive chronic LBP patients who had M1 or mixed M1/M2 on lumbar spine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Size and type of MC on sagittal lumbar MRI and clinical data regarding low back symptoms were recorded at baseline and two-year follow-up. The size (%) of each MC in relation to vertebral size was estimated from sagittal slices (midsagittal and left and right quarter), while proportions of M1 and M2 within the MC were evaluated from three separate slices covering the MC. The extent (%) of M1 and M2 was calculated as a product of the size of MC and the proportions of M1 and M2 within the MC, respectively. Changes in the extent of M1 and M2 were analysed for associations with changes in LBP intensity and the Oswestry disability index (ODI), using linear regression analysis.

resultsAt baseline, the mean LBP intensity was 6.5 and the mean ODI was 33%. During follow-up, LBP intensity increased in 15 patients and decreased in 41, while ODI increased in 19 patients and decreased in 44. In univariate analyses, change in the extent of M1 associated significantly positively with changes in LBP intensity and ODI (beta 0.26, p = 0.036 and beta 0.30, p = 0.017; respectively), whereas the change in the extent of M2 did not associate with changes in LBP intensity and ODI (beta -0.24, p = 0.054 and beta -0.13, p = 0.306; respectively). After adjustment for age, gender, and size of MC at baseline, change in the extent of M1 remained significantly positively associated with change in ODI (beta 0.53, p = 0.003).

conclusionChange in the extent of M1 associated positively with changes in low back symptoms.

Indexed as

Magnetic Resonance ImagingAdultBone MarrowDisability EvaluationFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLinear ModelsLongitudinal StudiesLow Back PainLumbar VertebraeMaleMiddle AgedPain MeasurementPrevalenceProspective Studies

Identifiers

PMID25897658
PMCPMC4413535

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.