Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25880011›Full record

Observational studyBritish journal of cancer2015

An internally and externally validated nomogram for predicting the risk of irinotecan-induced severe neutropenia in advanced colorectal cancer patients.

W Ichikawa, K Uehara, K Minamimura, C Tanaka, Y Takii, H Miyauchi, S Sadahiro, K Fujita, T Moriwaki, M Nakamura and 10 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in British journal of cancer, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Patient factors and their impact on neutropenic events: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2019
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Evaluation of risk factors associated with carboplatin and nab-paclitaxel treatment suspension in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2022
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Association between UGT1A1 gene polymorphism and safety and efficacy of irinotecan monotherapy as the third-line treatment for advanced gastric cancer.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Review
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  18. Article
  19. UGT1A1 polymorphisms in cancer: impact on irinotecan treatment.Pharmacogenomics and personalized medicine · 2017
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

W IchikawaDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Showa University, School of Medicine, 1-5-8 Hatanodai, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo 142-8555, Japan.
K UeharaDivision of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, 65 Tsurumai-cho, Showa-ku, Nagoya 466-8560, Japan.
K MinamimuraDepartment of Surgery, Mitsui Memorial Hospital, Kanda-Izumi-cho 1, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101-8643, Japan.
C TanakaDepartment of Surgery, Gifu Prefectural General Medical Centre, 4-6-1 Noishiki, Gifu 500-8717, Japan.
Y TakiiDepartment of Surgery, Niigata Cancer Centre Hospital, 2-15-3 Kawagishi-cho, Chuo-ku, Niigata 951-8566, Japan.
H MiyauchiDepartment of Frontier Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba University, 1-8-1 Inohana, Chuo-ku, Chiba 260-8670, Japan.
S SadahiroDepartment of Surgery, Tokai University, 143 Shimoyasuya, Isehara 259-1193, Japan.
K FujitaInstitute of Molecular Oncology, Showa University, 1-5-8 Hatanodai, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo 142-8555, Japan.
T MoriwakiDivision of Gastroenterology, University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba 305-8575, Japan.
M NakamuraComprehensive Cancer Centre, Aizawa Hospital, 2-5-1 Honjo, Matsumoto 390-8510, Japan.
T TakahashiDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Showa University, School of Medicine, 1-5-8 Hatanodai, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo 142-8555, Japan.
A TsujiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Kobe City Medical Centre General Hospital, 2-1-1 Minatojimaminamimachi, Chuo-ku, Kobe 650-0047, Japan.
K ShinozakiDivision of Clinical Oncology, Hiroshima Prefectural Hospital, 1-5-54 Ujina-Kanda, Minami-ku, Hiroshima 734-8530, Japan.
S MoritaDepartment of Biomedical Statistics and Bioinformatics, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, Yoshida-Konoe-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan.
Y AndoDepartment of Clinical Oncology and Chemotherapy, Nagoya University Hospital, 65 Tsurumai-cho, Showa-ku, Nagoya 466-8560, Japan.
Y OkutaniMedical Affairs Department, Daiichi Sankyo, 3-5-1 Nihonbashi-Honcho, Chuo-ku 103-8426, Tokyo, Japan.
M SugiharaClinical Data & Biostatistics Department, Daiichi Sankyo, 1-2-58 Hiromachi, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo 140-8710, Japan.
T SugiyamaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Iwate Medical University School of Medicine, 19-1 Uchimaru, Morioka 020-8505, Japan.
Y OhashiDepartment of Integrated Science and Engineering for Sustainable Society, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Chuo University, 1-13-27 Kasuga, Tokyo 112-8551, Japan.
Y SakataCEO, Misawa City Hospital, 164-65, Aza Horiguchi, Oaza Misawa, Misawa, Aomori 033-0022, Japan.
Showa University · JPChiba University · JPMisawa City Hospital · JPNagoya University Hospital · JPUniversity of Tsukuba · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn Asians, the risk of irinotecan-induced severe toxicities is related in part to UGT1A1*6 (UGT, UDP glucuronosyltransferase) and UGT1A1*28, variant alleles that reduce the elimination of SN-38, the active metabolite of irinotecan. We prospectively studied the relation between the UGT1A1 genotype and the safety of irinotecan-based regimens in Japanese patients with advanced colorectal cancer, and then constructed a nomogram for predicting the risk of severe neutropenia in the first treatment cycle.

methodsSafety data were obtained from 1312 patients monitored during the first 3 cycles of irinotecan-based regimen in a prospective observational study. In development of the nomogram, multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to test the associations of candidate factors to severe neutropenia in the first cycle. The final nomogram based on the results of multivariable analysis was constructed and validated internally using a bootstrapping technique and externally in an independent data set (n=350).

resultsThe UGT1A1 genotype was confirmed to be associated with increased risks of irinotecan-induced grade 3 or 4 neutropenia and diarrhoea. The final nomogram included type of regimen, administered dose of irinotecan, gender, age, UGT1A1 genotype, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, pre-treatment absolute neutrophil count, and total bilirubin level. The model was validated both internally (bootstrap-adjusted concordance index, 0.69) and externally (concordance index, 0.70).

conclusionsOur nomogram can be used before treatment to accurately predict the probability of irinotecan-induced severe neutropenia in the first cycle of therapy. Additional studies should evaluate the effect of nomogram-guided dosing on efficacy in patients receiving irinotecan.

Indexed as

NomogramsAgedAllelesAsian PeopleBilirubinCamptothecinColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenotypeGlucuronosyltransferaseHumansIrinotecanMaleMiddle AgedNeutropeniaBilirubinCamptothecinGlucuronosyltransferaseIrinotecanUGT1A1 Enzyme

Identifiers

PMID25880011
PMCPMC4430714
OpenAlexW2048348819

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.