ArticleOecologia2015
Survival and local recruitment are driven by environmental carry-over effects from the wintering area in a migratory seabird.
Article in Oecologia, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.
- The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Pooled it
- Signals From the Southern Edge: Demographic Effects of Ocean Warming on Two Cold-Adapted Seabird Species in the Gulf of Maine.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Evaluating environmental drivers and synchrony of Arctic shorebird demographic rates to inform conservation management.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025Article
- Behavioural responses of a trans-hemispheric migrant to climate oscillation.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- The quantitative genetics of fitness in a wild seabird.Evolution; international journal of organic evolution · 2022Article
- Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Favorable spring conditions can buffer the impact of winter carryover effects on a key breeding decision in an Arctic-breeding seabird.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Migration stopover ecology of Cinnamon Teal in western North America.Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Interannual measures of nutritional stress during a marine heatwave (the Blob) differ between two North Pacific seabird species.Conservation physiology · 2021Article
- Comparing non-breeding distribution and behavior of red-legged kittiwakes from two geographically distant colonies.PloS one · 2021Article
- When and where mortality occurs throughout the annual cycle changes with age in a migratory bird: individual vs population implications.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Effects of rearing conditions on natal dispersal processes in a long-lived predator bird.Ecology and evolution · 2018Article
- Plasticity results in delayed breeding in a long-distant migrant seabird.Ecology and evolution · 2017Article
- Sooty tern (PeerJ · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We estimated annual apparent survival rates, as well as local recruitment rates in different age groups and for different breeding status in the common tern Sterna hirundo using mark-recapture analysis on a long-term individual-based dataset from a breeding colony in Germany. Strong inter-annual variability in survival rates became apparent, especially in prospectors. Local recruitment also varied strongly between years and age groups. To explain these fluctuations, we linked survival and recruitment estimates to several environmental covariates expected to be limiting during the wintering period and migration, including the global climate indices of North Atlantic Oscillation and Southern Oscillation, fish abundance indices, and marine primary productivity in the West African wintering area. Contrary to expectations, global indices did not seem to be linked strongly to vital rates. Results showed that primary productivity had the strongest effect on annual survival, especially in young and inexperienced individuals. Primary productivity in the wintering area was also strongly associated with the probability of recruitment in the following breeding season, indicating that conditions during winter can have carry-over effects on the life cycle of individuals.
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