Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25856495›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Morbidity and mortality according to latest CD4+ cell count among HIV positive individuals in South Africa who enrolled in project Phidisa.

Patrick H Maduna, Matt Dolan, Lwando Kondlo, Honey Mabuza, Judith N Dlamini, Mike Polis, Thabo Mnisi, Susan Orsega, Patrick Maja, Lotty Ledwaba and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Inflammation-Related Morbidity and Mortality Among HIV-Positive Adults: How Extensive Is It?Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2018
    Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Retrospective analysis of CD4 count trends in South Africa.Southern African journal of HIV medicine · 2024
    Article
  6. Effect of Traditional Chinese Medicine Therapy on the Trend in CD4Evidence-based complementary and alternative medicine : eCAM · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Patrick H MadunaSouth Africa Military Health Services, South African National Defence Forces, Pretoria, South Africa.
Matt DolanThe Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Lwando KondloCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Honey MabuzaSouth Africa Military Health Services, South African National Defence Forces, Pretoria, South Africa.
Judith N DlaminiCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Mike PolisNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Thabo MnisiSouth Africa Military Health Services, South African National Defence Forces, Pretoria, South Africa.
Susan OrsegaNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Patrick MajaCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Lotty LedwabaCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Thuthukile MolefeCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Phumelele SangweniCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Lisette MalanSouth Africa Military Health Services, South African National Defence Forces, Pretoria, South Africa.
Gugu MatchabaCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Paul KhaboCharisma Healthcare Solutions, Pretoria, South Africa.
Greg GranditsDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.
James D NeatonDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.

Funding

CCR NIH HHS HHSN261200800001CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261200800001E
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundShort-term morbidity and mortality rates for HIV positive soldiers in the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) would inform decisions about deployment and HIV disease management. Risks were determined according to the latest CD4+ cell count and use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV positive individuals in the SANDF and their dependents. METHODS AND

findingsA total of 7,114 participants were enrolled and followed for mortality over a median of 4.7 years (IQR: 1.9, 7.1 years). For a planned subset (5,976), progression of disease (POD) and grade 4, potentially life-threatening events were also ascertained. CD4+ count and viral load were measured every 3 to 6 months. Poisson regression was used to compare event rates by latest CD4+ count (<50, 50-99, 100-199, 200-349, 350-499, 500+) with a focus on upper three strata, and to estimate relative risks (RRs) (ART/no ART). Median entry CD4+ was 207 cells/mm3. During follow-up over 70% were prescribed ART. Over follow-up 1,226 participants died; rates ranged from 57.6 (< 50 cells) to 0.8 (500+ cells) per 100 person years (py). Compared to those with latest CD4+ 200-349 (2.2/100 py), death rates were significantly lower (p<0.001), as expected, for those with 350-499 (0.9/100 py) and with 500+ cells (0.8/100 py). The composite outcome of death, POD or grade 4 events occurred in 2,302 participants (4,045 events); rates were similar in higher CD4+ count strata (9.4 for 350-499 and 7.9 for 500+ cells) and lower than those with counts 200-349 cells (13.5) (p<0.001). For those with latest CD4+ 350+ cells, 63% of the composite outcomes (680 of 1,074) were grade 4 events.

conclusionRates of morbidity and mortality are lowest among those with CD4+ count of 350 or higher and rates do not differ for those with counts of 350-499 versus 500+ cells. Grade 4 events are the predominant morbidity for participants with CD4+ counts of 350+ cells.

Indexed as

Anti-Retroviral AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountDisease ProgressionHIV InfectionsHumansLongitudinal StudiesMilitary PersonnelMorbidityRegression AnalysisSouth AfricaAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID25856495
PMCPMC4391777

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.