Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25856394›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Quantifying the contribution of statins to the decline in population mean cholesterol by socioeconomic group in England 1991 - 2012: a modelling study.

Chris Kypridemos, Piotr Bandosz, Graeme L Hickey, Maria Guzman-Castillo, Kirk Allen, Iain Buchan, Simon Capewell, Martin O'Flaherty

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Chris KypridemosDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Piotr BandoszDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Hypertension and Diabetology, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland.
Graeme L HickeyEpidemiology and Population Health Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Maria Guzman-CastilloDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Kirk AllenDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Iain BuchanCentre for Health Informatics, Institute of Population Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Simon CapewellDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Martin O'FlahertyDepartment of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
University of Liverpool · GBLancaster University · GBUniversity of Manchester · GB

Funding

Department of HealthMedical Research Council G0900847Medical Research Council MC_PC_13042Medical Research Council MR/K006665/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSerum total cholesterol is one of the major targets for cardiovascular disease prevention. Statins are effective for cholesterol control in individual patients. At the population level, however, their contribution to total cholesterol decline remains unclear. The aim of this study was to quantify the contribution of statins to the observed fall in population mean cholesterol levels in England over the past two decades, and explore any differences between socioeconomic groups. METHODS AND

findingsThis is a modelling study based on data from the Health Survey for England. We analysed changes in observed mean total cholesterol levels in the adult England population between 1991-92 (baseline) and 2011-12. We then compared the observed changes with a counterfactual 'no statins' scenario, where the impact of statins on population total cholesterol was estimated and removed. We estimated uncertainty intervals (UI) using Monte Carlo simulation, where confidence intervals (CI) were impractical. In 2011-12, 13.2% (95% CI: 12.5-14.0%) of the English adult population used statins at least once per week, compared with 1991-92 when the proportion was just 0.5% (95% CI: 0.3-1.0%). Between 1991-92 and 2011-12, mean total cholesterol declined from 5.86 mmol/L (95% CI: 5.82-5.90) to 5.17 mmol/L (95% CI: 5.14-5.20). For 2011-12, mean total cholesterol was lower in more deprived groups. In our 'no statins' scenario we predicted a mean total cholesterol of 5.36 mmol/L (95% CI: 5.33-5.40) for 2011-12. Statins were responsible for approximately 33.7% (95% UI: 28.9-38.8%) of the total cholesterol reduction since 1991-92. The statin contribution to cholesterol reduction was greater among the more deprived groups of women, while showing little socio-economic gradient among men.

conclusionsOur model suggests that statins explained around a third of the substantial falls in total cholesterol observed in England since 1991. Approximately two thirds of the cholesterol decrease can reasonably be attributed non-pharmacological determinants.

Indexed as

Social ClassAdolescentAdultAgedCardiovascular DiseasesCholesterolConfidence IntervalsEnglandFemaleHumansHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsMaleMiddle AgedMonte Carlo MethodCholesterolHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID25856394
PMCPMC4391910
OpenAlexW2088162558

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.