Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25844394›Full record

ArticleThe lancet. HIV2015

Cost-effectiveness of community-based strategies to strengthen the continuum of HIV care in rural South Africa: a health economic modelling analysis.

Jennifer A Smith, Monisha Sharma, Carol Levin, Jared M Baeten, Heidi van Rooyen, Connie Celum, Timothy B Hallett, Ruanne V Barnabas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The lancet. HIV, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
60citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

60 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jennifer A Smith
Monisha Sharma
Carol Levin
Jared M Baeten
Heidi van Rooyen
Connie Celum
Timothy B Hallett
Ruanne V Barnabas

Funding

University of Washington/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS ResearchP30AI027757 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI EDWIN ROBERTO ORELLANA · 1988 to 2026
$104.9M
Institute of Translational Health SciencesKL2TR000421 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI DISIS, MARY L. · 2012 to 2016
$12.6M
Interventions to decrease HIV infectiousness in UgandaRC4AI092552 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CELUM, CONNIE L · 2010 to 2013
$5.6M
Multi-component, Targeted HIV Prevention for sub-Saharan Africa: PreventionRxR01AI083034 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CELUM, CONNIE L · 2009 to 2012
$4.3M
Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000421NIAID NIH HHS 3 R0 AI083034-02S2NIAID NIH HHS 5 R01 AI083034NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027757NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI083034NIAID NIH HHS RC4 AI092552Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 090285/Z/09/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHome HIV counselling and testing (HTC) achieves high coverage of testing and linkage to care compared with existing facility-based approaches, particularly among asymptomatic individuals. In a modelling analysis we aimed to assess the effect on population-level health and cost-effectiveness of a community-based package of home HTC in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

methodsWe parameterised an individual-based model with data from home HTC and linkage field studies that achieved high coverage (91%) and linkage to antiretroviral therapy (80%) in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Costs were derived from a linked microcosting study. The model simulated 10,000 individuals over 10 years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for the intervention relative to the existing status quo of facility-based testing, with costs discounted at 3% annually.

findingsThe model predicted implementation of home HTC in addition to current practice to decrease HIV-associated morbidity by 10–22% and HIV infections by 9–48% with increasing CD4 cell count thresholds for antiretroviral therapy initiation. Incremental programme costs were US$2·7 million to $4·4 million higher in the intervention scenarios than at baseline, and costs increased with higher CD4 cell count thresholds for antiretroviral therapy initiation; antiretroviral therapy accounted for 48–87% of total costs. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios per disability-adjusted life-year averted were $1340 at an antiretroviral therapy threshold of CD4 count lower than 200 cells per μL, $1090 at lower than 350 cells per μL, $1150 at lower than 500 cells per μL, and $1360 at universal access to antiretroviral therapy.

interpretationCommunity-based HTC with enhanced linkage to care can result in increased HIV testing coverage and treatment uptake, decreasing the population burden of HIV-associated morbidity and mortality. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are less than 20% of South Africa's gross domestic product per person, and are therefore classed as very cost effective. Home HTC can be a viable means to achieve UNAIDS' ambitious new targets for HIV treatment coverage.

fundingNational Institutes of Health, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust.

Indexed as

Models, EconomicAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCD4 Lymphocyte CountCommunity Health ServicesCost-Benefit AnalysisDirective CounselingEligibility DeterminationHealth Care CostsHIV InfectionsHumansMass ScreeningPilot ProjectsRural PopulationSouth AfricaViral LoadAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID25844394
PMCPMC4384819

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.