Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25843380›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2015

Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens.

James O Lloyd-Smith, Sebastian Funk, Angela R McLean, Steven Riley, James L N Wood

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Global analysis of multi-host and multi-vector epidemic models.Journal of mathematical analysis and applications · 2019
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Discrete stochastic analogs of Erlang epidemic models.Journal of biological dynamics · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

James O Lloyd-SmithDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA; Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA. Electronic address: jlloydsmith@ucla.edu.
Sebastian FunkCenter for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Angela R McLeanDepartment of Zoology, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Steven RileyFogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA; MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Disease Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
James L N WoodFogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA; Disease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.

Funding

Ecology of Infectious Diseases (EID)-Immune Landscapes of Human Influenza in HousR01TW008246 · FIC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CUMMINGS, DEREK A · 2008 to 2011
$1.9M
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW008246FIC NIH HHS R01 TW008246-01Medical Research Council MR/J008761/1Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1Medical Research Council MR/K021680/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 093488/Z/10/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.

Indexed as

AnimalsCommunicable Diseases, EmergingDisease ReservoirsHumansModels, StatisticalPopulation SurveillanceSpecies SpecificityStochastic ProcessesZoonosesCross-species spillover transmissionEmerging infectious diseasesHost jumpInfectious disease dynamicsZoonosis

Identifiers

PMID25843380
PMCPMC4715032

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.