Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25843375›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2015

Seven challenges in modeling vaccine preventable diseases.

C J E Metcalf, V Andreasen, O N Bjørnstad, K Eames, W J Edmunds, S Funk, T D Hollingsworth, J Lessler, C Viboud, B T Grenfell

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Integrated serosurveillance of multiple communicable diseases in the hinterland of Guyana.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Critical spatial clusters for vaccine preventable diseases.Social, cultural, and behavioral modeling : 13th International Conference, SBP-BRiMS 2020, Washington, DC, USA, October 18-21, 2020, Proceedings. International Conference on Social Computing Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction ... · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. [Vaccine rejection and vaccination management: the grey areasRecusa vacinal e gestão da imunização: nuances e contrastes].Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2019
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

C J E MetcalfDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and the Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. Electronic address: cmetcalf@princeton.edu.
V AndreasenDepartment of Science, Systems and Models, Universitetsvej 1, 27.1, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark.
O N BjørnstadCentre for Infectious Disease Dynamics, the Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA.
K EamesCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
W J EdmundsCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
S FunkCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
T D HollingsworthWarwick Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke Place, Liverpool L3 5QA, UK.
J LesslerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
C ViboudDivision of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
B T GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and the Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA; Division of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.

Funding

Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI SALGANIK, MATTHEW J. · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
Department of Health CDF-2011-04-019Medical Research Council MR/K021680/1NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879Wellcome Trust 097830/Z/11/A-C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vaccination has been one of the most successful public health measures since the introduction of basic sanitation. Substantial mortality and morbidity reductions have been achieved via vaccination against many infections, and the list of diseases that are potentially controllable by vaccines is growing steadily. We introduce key challenges for modeling in shaping our understanding and guiding policy decisions related to vaccine preventable diseases.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlCommunicable DiseasesHealth PolicyHumansImmunity, InnateModels, StatisticalVaccinesVaccinesCoverageEliminationImmunityModelingVaccination

Identifiers

PMID25843375
PMCPMC6777947

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.