Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25837860›Full record

ArticleDeutsches Arzteblatt international2015

Prevalence trends in lifestyle-related risk factors.

Henry Völzke, Till Ittermann, Carsten Oliver Schmidt, Sebastian E Baumeister, Sabine Schipf, Dietrich Alte, Reiner Biffar, Ulrich John, Wolfgang Hoffmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Henry VölzkeInstitute for Community Medicine, University of Greifswald, German Center for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Greifswald, Center for Dental, Oral and Maxillofacial Medicine, University of Greifswald, Institute of Social Medicine and Prevention, University of Greifswald.
Till Ittermann
Carsten Oliver Schmidt
Sebastian E Baumeister
Sabine Schipf
Dietrich Alte
Reiner Biffar
Ulrich John
Wolfgang Hoffmann

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe regional prevalence of risk factors can vary over time. The Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP) addresses prevalence trends for common risk factors in a region in northeast Germany.

methodsA longitudinal study was carried out from 1997 to 2001 (SHIP-0, with 4308 subjects), and a second, independent random sample of the population in the same region was studied from 2008 to 2012 (SHIP-Trend, with 4420 subjects). All data were standardized with post-stratification weighting derived from the adult population of the state of Mecklenburg-West Pomerania.

resultsSHIP reveals a marked decline of mean alcohol consumption in the adult population, from 5.57 g/day (95% confidence interval, 5.51-5.63) to 3.12 g/day (95% CI 3.09-3.15). The percentage of active smokers among men declined from 38.6% (95% CI 36.0-41.2) to 34.3% (95% CI 32.1-36.6). Simultaneously, however, there was a rightward shift of the BMI distribution, with a marked increase in the prevalence of obesity, from 24.7% to 32.0%. There was a corresponding increase in the prevalence of diabetes, from 9.1% to 13.8%. Compared to eleven years ago, the amount of exercise taken during free time has risen among the elderly, but fallen among young women.

conclusionTobacco and alcohol consumption have declined over the past decade, although this study may have overestimated these trends through a combination of selection bias and reporting bias. Meanwhile, the northeast German population now has a worse metabolic risk profile, as indicated by the increased prevalence of obesity and diabetes. Society as a whole must take measures to combat this trend.

Indexed as

Health BehaviorLife StyleAdultAgedAge DistributionAlcohol DrinkingComorbidityExerciseFemaleGermanyHealth StatusHumansMaleMiddle AgedObesityPhysical Conditioning, Human

Identifiers

PMID25837860
PMCPMC4390827

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.