Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25835538›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2015

Estimating influenza attack rates in the United States using a participatory cohort.

Rumi Chunara, Edward Goldstein, Oscar Patterson-Lomba, John S Brownstein

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Observational
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  16. Influenza and Viral Pneumonia.Clinics in chest medicine · 2018
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rumi ChunaraThe Global Institute of Public Health, New york University and Computer science &Engineering, New york University.
Edward GoldsteinCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Oscar Patterson-LombaDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
John S Brownstein1] Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America [2] Informatics Program, Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LIPSITCH, MARC · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
BIOSTATISTICS/EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING GRANTS IN AIDST32AI007358 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI Michael David Hughes · 1989 to 2026
$12.4M
A Platform for Modeling the Global Impact of Climate Change on Infectious DiseaseR01LM010812 · NLM · BOSTON CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL · PI BROWNSTEIN, JOHN S. · 2010 to 2015
$2.5M
Epidemiology and modeling of the population dynamics of influenza and antimicrobiK01AI101010 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI GOLDSTEIN, EDWARD · 2012 to 2014
$379k
NIAID NIH HHS 1K01AI101010-01NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI101010NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007358NIAID NIH HHS T32AI007358-26NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558NIGMS NIH HHS U54GM088558NLM NIH HHS 5R01LM010812-05NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010812
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We considered how participatory syndromic surveillance data can be used to estimate influenza attack rates during the 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 seasons in the United States. Our inference is based on assessing the difference in the rates of self-reported influenza-like illness (ILI, defined as presence of fever and cough/sore throat) among the survey participants during periods of active vs. low influenza circulation as well as estimating the probability of self-reported ILI for influenza cases. Here, we combined Flu Near You data with additional sources (Hong Kong household studies of symptoms of influenza cases and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates of vaccine coverage and effectiveness) to estimate influenza attack rates. The estimated influenza attack rate for the early vaccinated Flu Near You members (vaccination reported by week 45) aged 20-64 between calendar weeks 47-12 was 14.7%(95% CI(5.9%,24.1%)) for the 2012-2013 season and 3.6%(-3.3%,10.3%) for the 2013-2014 season. The corresponding rates for the US population aged 20-64 were 30.5% (4.4%, 49.3%) in 2012-2013 and 7.1%(-5.1%, 32.5%) in 2013-2014. The attack rates in women and men were similar each season. Our findings demonstrate that participatory syndromic surveillance data can be used to gauge influenza attack rates during future influenza seasons.

Indexed as

AdultCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMaleMiddle AgedPopulation SurveillanceSeasonsUnited StatesVaccinationYoung AdultInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID25835538
PMCPMC4894435

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.