Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25830916›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2015

Micronutrients in HIV: a Bayesian meta-analysis.

George M Carter, Debbie Indyk, Matthew Johnson, Michael Andreae, Kathryn Suslov, Sudharani Busani, Aryan Esmaeili, Henry S Sacks

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 11 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

George M CarterFoundation for Integrative AIDS Research, Brooklyn, NY, United States of America.
Debbie IndykIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States of America.
Matthew JohnsonTeachers College, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States of America.
Michael AndreaeDepartment of Anesthesiology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, United States of America.
Kathryn SuslovIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States of America.
Sudharani BusaniIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States of America.
Aryan EsmaeiliIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States of America.
Henry S SacksIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States of America.
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USAlbert Einstein College of Medicine · USAmerican Foundation for AIDS Research · USColumbia University · US

Funding

Core-010UL1TR001073 · NCATS · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI KELLER, MARLA J, SHAMOON, HARRY · 2013 to 2017
$21.3M
Meta-analysis of CAM therapies for HIVR01AT005824 · NCCIH · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI SACKS, HENRY S · 2010 to 2014
$1.9M
Clinical and Translational Science Award-K12KL2RR025749 · NCRR · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI SHAMOON, HARRY · 2008 to 2011
$991k
Clinical and Translational Science AwardKL2TR001071 · NCATS · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI SHAMOON, HARRY · 2013 to 2017
$968k
Clinical and Translational Science AwardTL1TR001072 · NCATS · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI SHAMOON, HARRY · 2013 to 2017
$909k
Clinical and Translational Science Award-K12KL2TR000088 · NCATS · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI SHAMOON, HARRY · 2012 to 2013
$245k
NCATS NIH HHS 1 KL2 TR001071-01NCATS NIH HHS 1 TL1 TR001072-01NCATS NIH HHS 1 UL1 TR001073-01NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000088NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001071NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR001072NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001073NCCIH NIH HHS 1R01AT005824-01NCCIH NIH HHS R01 AT005824NCRR NIH HHS KL2 RR025749
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundApproximately 28.5 million people living with HIV are eligible for treatment (CD4<500), but currently have no access to antiretroviral therapy. Reduced serum level of micronutrients is common in HIV disease. Micronutrient supplementation (MNS) may mitigate disease progression and mortality.

objectivesWe synthesized evidence on the effect of micronutrient supplementation on mortality and rate of disease progression in HIV disease.

methodsWe searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central, AMED and CINAHL databases through December 2014, without language restriction, for studies of greater than 3 micronutrients versus any or no comparator. We built a hierarchical Bayesian random effects model to synthesize results. Inferences are based on the posterior distribution of the population effects; posterior distributions were approximated by Markov chain Monte Carlo in OpenBugs. PRINCIPAL

findingsFrom 2166 initial references, we selected 49 studies for full review and identified eight reporting on disease progression and/or mortality. Bayesian synthesis of data from 2,249 adults in three studies estimated the relative risk of disease progression in subjects on MNS vs. control as 0.62 (95% credible interval, 0.37, 0.96). Median number needed to treat is 8.4 (4.8, 29.9) and the Bayes Factor 53.4. Based on data reporting on 4,095 adults reporting mortality in 7 randomized controlled studies, the RR was 0.84 (0.38, 1.85), NNT is 25 (4.3, ∞).

conclusionsMNS significantly and substantially slows disease progression in HIV+ adults not on ARV, and possibly reduces mortality. Micronutrient supplements are effective in reducing progression with a posterior probability of 97.9%. Considering MNS low cost and lack of adverse effects, MNS should be standard of care for HIV+ adults not yet on ARV.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremDietary SupplementsDisease ProgressionHIV InfectionsHumansMicronutrientsMicronutrients

Identifiers

PMID25830916
PMCPMC4382132
OpenAlexW2018874475

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.