Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25811889›Full record

Trial reportChest2015

Prognosis for Spontaneous Resolution of OSA in Children.

Ronald D Chervin, Susan S Ellenberg, Xiaoling Hou, Carole L Marcus, Susan L Garetz, Eliot S Katz, Elise K Hodges, Ron B Mitchell, Dwight T Jones, Raanan Arens and 4 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Chest, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00560859 (A Randomized Controlled Study of Adenotonsillectomy for Children With Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome), which is not on this map. Cited by 45 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
8.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00560859 nacompletednot on this map

A Randomized Controlled Study of Adenotonsillectomy for Children With Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of PennsylvaniaRan2007 to 2012Enrolled453ConditionsObstructive Sleep Apnea, SnoringArmsAdenotonsillectomy (AT) - removal of adenoids and tonsils, Watchful Waiting
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 104 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Revisiting the efficiency and necessity of adenotonsillectomy in children with mild obstructive sleep apnea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Postoperative Bleeding and Associated Utilization following Tonsillectomy in Children.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2017
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Progression of mild sleep-disordered breathing in children managed with watchful waiting.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2026
    Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Symptoms, Quality of Life, and Executive Function in Children Who Snore.JAMA otolaryngology-- head & neck surgery · 2025
    Trial
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  11. Review
  12. Article
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  14. Review
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  18. Resting-State Cerebral Hemodynamics is Associated With Problem Behaviors in Pediatric Sleep-Disordered Breathing.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Ronald D ChervinDepartment of Neurology and Sleep Disorders Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI. Electronic address: chervin@umich.edu.
Susan S EllenbergDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Xiaoling HouDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Carole L MarcusDepartment of Pediatrics, Sleep Center, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Susan L GaretzDepartment of Otolaryngology/Head and Neck Surgery and Sleep Disorders Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Eliot S KatzDivision of Respiratory Diseases, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Elise K HodgesDivision of Neuropsychology, Department of Psychiatry, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Ron B MitchellDepartment of Otolaryngology and Pediatrics, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX.
Dwight T JonesDepartment of Otolaryngology/Head & Neck Surgery, University of Nebraska College of Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE.
Raanan ArensDivision of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, The Children's Hospital at Montefiore, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx NY.
Raouf AminDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH.
Susan RedlineDepartment of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Carol L RosenDepartment of Pediatrics, Rainbow Babies & Children's Hospital, University Hospitals Case Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH.
Childhood Adenotonsillectomy Trial
University of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USAlbert Einstein College of Medicine · USBoston Children's Hospital · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia · USCincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USUniversity Hospitals Case Medical Center · USUniversity of Nebraska Medical Center · US

Funding

INSTITUTIONAL CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE AWARDUL1RR024134 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FITZGERALD, GARRET A · 2006 to 2011
$70.4M
CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024989 · NCRR · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI DAVIS, PAMELA B · 2007 to 2011
$53.7M
Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of ClevelandUL1TR000439 · NCATS · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI KONSTAN, MICHAEL W. · 2012 to 2016
$50.0M
Core-010UL1TR001073 · NCATS · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI KELLER, MARLA J, SHAMOON, HARRY · 2013 to 2017
$21.3M
Randomized Controlled Study of Adenotonsillectomy for Childhood Sleep ApneaU01HL083075 · NHLBI · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI REDLINE, SUSAN S. · 2006 to 2010
$7.6M
A randomized controlled study of adenotonsillectomy for childrenU01HL083129 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI ELLENBERG, SUSAN S · 2006 to 2010
$2.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000439NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001073NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024134NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024989NHLBI NIH HHS HL083075NHLBI NIH HHS HL083129NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL083075NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL083129
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAdenotonsillectomy (AT) is commonly performed for childhood OSA syndrome (OSAS), but little is known about prognosis without treatment.

methodsThe Childhood Adenotonsillectomy Trial (CHAT) randomized 50% of eligible children with OSAS to a control arm (watchful waiting), with 7-month follow-up symptom inventories, physical examinations, and polysomnography. Polysomnographic and symptomatic resolution were defined respectively by an apnea/hypopnea index (AHI) <2 and obstructive apnea index (OAI) <1 and by an OSAS symptom score (Pediatric Sleep Questionnaire [PSQ]) < 0.33 with ≥ 25% improvement from baseline.

resultsAfter 194 children aged 5 to 9 years underwent 7 months of watchful waiting, 82 (42%) no longer met polysomnographic criteria for OSAS. Baseline predictors of resolution included lower AHI, better oxygen saturation, smaller waist circumference or percentile, higher-positioned soft palate, smaller neck circumference, and non-black race (each P < .05). Among these, the independent predictors were lower AHI and waist circumference percentile < 90%. Among 167 children with baseline PSQ scores ≥ 0.33, only 25 (15%) experienced symptomatic resolution. Baseline predictors were low PSQ and PSQ snoring subscale scores; absence of habitual snoring, loud snoring, observed apneas, or a household smoker; higher quality of life; fewer attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder symptoms; and female sex. Only lower PSQ and snoring scores were independent predictors.

conclusionsMany candidates for AT no longer have OSAS on polysomnography after 7 months of watchful waiting, whereas meaningful improvement in symptoms is not common. In practice, a baseline low AHI and normal waist circumference, or low PSQ and snoring score, may help identify an opportunity to avoid AT. TRIAL REGISTRY: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT00560859; URL: www.clinicaltrials.gov.

Indexed as

ChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMalePolysomnographyPrognosisQuality of LifeRemission, SpontaneousSleepSleep Apnea, ObstructiveSurveys and QuestionnairesTonsillectomy

Identifiers

PMID25811889
PMCPMC4631037
OpenAlexW2146527429

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.