Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25800857›Full record

ArticleActa oncologica (Stockholm, Sweden)2015

Predicting radiation-induced valvular heart damage.

Laura Cella, Jung Hun Oh, Joseph O Deasy, Giuseppe Palma, Raffaele Liuzzi, Vittoria D'avino, Manuel Conson, Marco Picardi, Marco Salvatore, Roberto Pacelli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Acta oncologica (Stockholm, Sweden), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Mediastinal irradiation and valvular heart disease.Cardio-oncology (London, England) · 2022
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Cardiovascular Complications Associated with Mediastinal Radiation.Current treatment options in cardiovascular medicine · 2019
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Cardiotoxicity of mediastinal radiotherapy.Reports of practical oncology and radiotherapy : journal of Greatpoland Cancer Center in Poznan and Polish Society of Radiation Oncology
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Laura Cellaa Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.
Jung Hun Ohc Department of Medical Physics , Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center , New York , New York , USA.
Joseph O Deasyc Department of Medical Physics , Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center , New York , New York , USA.
Giuseppe Palmaa Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.
Raffaele Liuzzia Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.
Vittoria D'avinoa Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.
Manuel Consona Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.
Marco Picardid Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery , Federico II University School of Medicine , Naples , Italy.
Marco Salvatoreb Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences , Federico II University School of Medicine , Naples , Italy.
Roberto Pacellia Institute of Biostructure and Bioimaging, National Council of Research (CNR) , Naples , Italy.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Elisa de Stanchina · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop a predictive multivariate normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for radiation-induced heart valvular damage (RVD). The influence of combined heart-lung irradiation on RVD development was included. MATERIAL AND

methodsMultivariate logistic regression modeling with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to build an NTCP model to predict RVD based on a cohort of 90 Hodgkin lymphoma patients treated with sequential chemo-radiation therapy. In addition to heart irradiation factors, clinical variables, along with left and right lung dose-volume histogram statistics, were included in the analysis. To avoid overfitting, 10-fold cross-validation (CV) was used for LASSO logistic regression modeling, with 50 reshuffled cycles. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and Spearman's correlation coefficient (Rs).

resultsAt a median follow-up time of 55 months (range 12-92 months) after the end of radiation treatment, 27 of 90 patients (30%) manifested at least one kind of RVD (mild or moderate), with a higher incidence of left-sided valve defects (64%). Fourteen prognostic factors were frequently selected (more than 100/500 model fits) by LASSO, which included mainly heart and left lung dosimetric variables along with their volume variables. The averaged cross-validated performance was AUC-CV = 0.685 and Rs = 0.293. The overall performance of a final NTCP model for RVD obtained applying LASSO logistic regression to the full dataset was satisfactory (AUC = 0.84, Rs = 0.55, p < 0.001).

conclusionLASSO proved to be an improved and flexible modeling method for variable selection. Applying LASSO, we showed, for the first time, the importance of jointly considering left lung irradiation and left lung volume size in the prediction of subclinical radiation-related heart disease resulting in RVD.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedArea Under CurveEchocardiographyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart Valve DiseasesHeart ValvesHodgkin DiseaseHumansLogistic ModelsLungMaleMiddle AgedRadiation Dosage

Identifiers

PMID25800857
PMCPMC4786010

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.