Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25800753›Full record

Trial reportJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2015

Circulating tumor cell biomarker panel as an individual-level surrogate for survival in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

Howard I Scher, Glenn Heller, Arturo Molina, Gerhardt Attard, Daniel C Danila, Xiaoyu Jia, Weimin Peng, Shahneen K Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes and 6 more

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 198 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
198citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

198 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. SEOM clinical guidelines for the treatment of advanced prostate cancer (2020).Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2021
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Guideline
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Trial
  16. Trial
  17. Trial
  18. Trial
  19. Trial
  20. Trial

138 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Howard I ScherHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. scherh@mskcc.org.
Glenn HellerHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Arturo MolinaHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Gerhardt AttardHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Daniel C DanilaHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Xiaoyu JiaHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Weimin PengHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Shahneen K SandhuHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
David OlmosHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Ruth RiisnaesHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Robert McCormackHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Tomasz BurzykowskiHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Thian KheohHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Martin FleisherHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Marc BuyseHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Johann S de BonoHoward I. Scher, Glenn Heller, Daniel C. Danila, and Martin Fleisher, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; Howard I. Scher and Daniel C. Danila, Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiaoyu Jia, Columbia University, New York, NY; Arturo Molina, Janssen Research & Development, Menlo Park; Weimin Peng, Janssen Research & Development, Los Angeles; Thian Kheoh, Janssen Research & Development, San Diego, CA; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, Ruth Riisnaes, and Johann S. de Bono, Institute of Cancer Research; Gerhardt Attard, Shahneen K. Sandhu, David Olmos, and Johann S. de Bono, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom; Robert McCormack, Janssen Research & Development, Raritan, NJ; and Tomasz Burzykowski and Marc Buyse, International Drug Development Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Yu Chen, MICHAEL J MORRIS · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
Cancer Research UK 13239Medical Research Council G0601308NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629NCI NIH HHS P50 CA92629Prostate Cancer UK PG12-49
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTrials in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) need new clinical end points that are valid surrogates for survival. We evaluated circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration as a surrogate outcome measure. PATIENTS AND

methodsExamining CTCs alone and in combination with other biomarkers as a surrogate for overall survival was a secondary objective of COU-AA-301, a multinational, randomized, double-blind phase III trial of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone versus prednisone alone in patients with metastatic CRPC previously treated with docetaxel. The biomarkers were measured at baseline and 4, 8, and 12 weeks, with 12 weeks being the primary measure of interest. The Prentice criteria were applied to test candidate biomarkers as surrogates for overall survival at the individual-patient level.

resultsA biomarker panel using CTC count and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level was shown to satisfy the four Prentice criteria for individual-level surrogacy. Twelve-week surrogate biomarker data were available for 711 patients. The abiraterone acetate plus prednisone and prednisone-alone groups demonstrated a significant survival difference (P = .034); surrogate distribution at 12 weeks differed by treatment (P < .001); the discriminatory power of the surrogate to predict mortality was high (weighted c-index, 0.81); and adding the surrogate to the model eliminated the treatment effect on survival. Overall, 2-year survival of patients with CTCs < 5 (low risk) versus patients with CTCs ≥ 5 cells/7.5 mL of blood and LDH > 250 U/L (high risk) at 12 weeks was 46% and 2%, respectively.

conclusionA biomarker panel containing CTC number and LDH level was shown to be a surrogate for survival at the individual-patient level in this trial of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone versus prednisone alone for patients with metastatic CRPC. Additional trials are ongoing to validate the findings.

Indexed as

Abiraterone AcetateAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAndrostenesBiomarkers, TumorEndpoint DeterminationHumansL-Lactate DehydrogenaseMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisNeoplastic Cells, CirculatingProstatic Neoplasms, Castration-ResistantAbiraterone AcetateAndrostenesBiomarkers, TumorL-Lactate Dehydrogenase

Identifiers

PMID25800753
PMCPMC4397279

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.