Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25800537›Full record

ReviewJournal of mathematical biology2016

Capturing the dynamics of pathogens with many strains.

Adam J Kucharski, Viggo Andreasen, Julia R Gog

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of mathematical biology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Understanding patterns of variant emergence and spread in an ongoing epidemic.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  3. Final-Size Solutions for SIRI Models with Vaccination.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Modelling the impact of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant in New Zealand.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023
    Article
  13. Pathogen diversity in meta-population networks.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Evolution during primary HIV infection does not require adaptive immune selection.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Adam J KucharskiCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. adam.kucharski@lshtm.ac.uk.
Viggo AndreasenDepartment of Mathematics and Physics, Roskilde University, 4000, Roskilde, Denmark.
Julia R GogDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K021524/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pathogens that consist of multiple antigenic variants are a serious public health concern. These infections, which include dengue virus, influenza and malaria, generate substantial morbidity and mortality. However, there are considerable theoretical challenges involved in modelling such infections. As well as describing the interaction between strains that occurs as a result cross-immunity and evolution, models must balance biological realism with mathematical and computational tractability. Here we review different modelling approaches, and suggest a number of biological problems that are potential candidates for study with these methods. We provide a comprehensive outline of the benefits and disadvantages of available frameworks, and describe what biological information is preserved and lost under different modelling assumptions. We also consider the emergence of new disease strains, and discuss how models of pathogens with multiple strains could be developed further in future. This includes extending the flexibility and biological realism of current approaches, as well as interface with data.

Indexed as

Disease Transmission, InfectiousModels, BiologicalAntigenic VariationAntigens, ViralBiological EvolutionCommunicable DiseasesEpidemicsHost-Pathogen InteractionsHumansInfluenza, HumanMathematical ConceptsOrthomyxoviridaeStochastic ProcessesAntigens, ViralCross-immunityEvolutionInfluenzaMulti-strain pathogensTransmission model

Identifiers

PMID25800537
PMCPMC4698306

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.