ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2015
Assessment of Short- and Long-Term Mortality Displacement in Heat-Related Deaths in Brisbane, Australia, 1996-2004.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 91 citations in OpenAlex.
- Changes in Susceptibility to Heat During the Summer: A Multicountry Analysis.American journal of epidemiology · 2016Pooled it
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- Within-summer variation in the heat-related emergency department visits among older adults in South Korea: a population-based case-crossover study.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2026Article
- Harvesting Effect and Extreme Temperature-Related Mortality in Italy.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2026Article
- Extreme temperatures, recent warming and seasonal influenza-linking human exposures to respiratory health in southern Germany.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2025Article
- High temperature and cardiovascular disease in Australia under different climatic, demographic, and adaptive scenarios.European heart journal · 2025Article
- Outpacing climate change: adaptation to heatwaves in Europe.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Dementia and Risks of Temperature-Related Mortality and Hospitalizations in Germany.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025Article
- Exploring the health impacts of climate change: Challenges and considerations for health services research.Health services research · 2025Article
- Cardiovascular morbidity risk attributable to thermal stress: analysis of emergency ambulance dispatch data from Shenzhen, China.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Exploring the paradoxical nature of cold temperature mortality in Europe.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Article
- Non-optimal apparent temperature and cardiovascular mortality: the association in Puducherry, India between 2011 and 2020.BMC public health · 2023Article
- The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013.Frontiers of environmental science & engineering · 2023Article
- Effects of Cooling Interventions with Different Target Temperatures on Heat Stroke Rats.Journal of inflammation research · 2023Article
- The Association between Apparent Temperature and Hospital Admissions for Cardiovascular Disease in Limpopo Province, South Africa.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The adverse effect of ambient temperature on respiratory deaths in a high population density area: the case of Malta.Respiratory research · 2022Article
- Has the Risk of Outpatient Visits for Allergic Rhinitis, Related to Short-Term Exposure to Air Pollution, Changed over the Past Years in Beijing, China?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Interactions between climate and COVID-19.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2022Review
- Temporal trends of the association between temperature variation and hospitalizations for schizophrenia in Hefei, China from 2005 to 2019: a time-varying distribution lag nonlinear model.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundMortality displacement (or "harvesting") has been identified as a key issue in the assessment of the temperature-mortality relationship. However, only a few studies have addressed the "harvesting" issue and findings have not been consistent.
objectivesWe examined the potential impact of both short- and long-term harvesting effects on heat-related deaths in Brisbane, Australia.
methodsWe collected data on daily counts of deaths (nonaccidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory), weather, and air pollution in Brisbane from 1 January 1996 to 30 November 2004. We estimated heat-related deaths, identified potential short-term mortality displacement, and assessed how and to what extent the impact of summer temperature on mortality was modified by mortality in the previous winter using a Poisson time-series regression combined with distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM).
resultsThere were significant associations between temperature and each mortality outcome in summer. We found evidence of short-term mortality displacement for respiratory mortality, and evidence of longer-term mortality displacement for nonaccidental and cardiovascular mortality when the preceding winter's mortality was low. The estimated heat effect on mortality was generally stronger when the preceding winter mortality level was low. For example, we estimated a 22% increase in nonaccidental mortality (95% CI: 14, 30) with a 1°C increase in mean temperature above a 28°C threshold in summers that followed a winter with low mortality, compared with 12% (95% CI: 7, 17) following a winter with high mortality. The short- and long-term mortality displacement appeared to jointly influence the assessment of heat-related deaths.
conclusionsWe found evidence of both short- and long-term harvesting effects on heat-related mortality in Brisbane, Australia. Our finding may clarify temperature-related health risks and inform effective public health interventions to manage the health impacts of climate change.
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