Observational studyPloS one2015
A prospective study of the incidence of myocarditis/pericarditis and new onset cardiac symptoms following smallpox and influenza vaccination.
Observational study in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05513313 (Prospective Assessment of Myocarditis After Replication-Deficient Smallpox Immunization), which is not on this map. Cited by 87 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Prospective Assessment of Myocarditis After Replication-Deficient Smallpox Immunization
Who cites it
87 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 168 citations in OpenAlex.
- Autopsy findings in cases of fatal COVID-19 vaccine-induced myocarditis.ESC heart failure · 2025Pooled it
- Myopericarditis following COVID-19 vaccination and non-COVID-19 vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis.The Lancet. Respiratory medicine · 2022Pooled it
- Brazilian Society of Cardiology Guideline on Myocarditis - 2022.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2022Guideline
- Myocarditis Following COVID-19 Vaccination: A Systematic Review (October 2020-October 2021).Heart, lung & circulation · 2022Pooled it
- Cardiac troponin elevation in patients with influenza virus infections.Biomedical journal · 2021Pooled it
- Trial
- Trial
- Sex matters: mechanistic insights into sex-driven patterns of autoimmunity and implications for pharmacotherapy.Naunyn-Schmiedeberg's archives of pharmacology · 2026Review
- Risk of Myocarditis or Pericarditis With High-Dose vs Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine: A Prespecified Secondary Analysis of the Randomized DANFLU-2 Trial.JAMA network open · 2025Article
- Review
- Cardiac manifestations and outcomes of COVID-19 vaccine-associated myocarditis in the young in the USA: longitudinal results from the Myocarditis After COVID Vaccination (MACiV) multicenter study.EClinicalMedicine · 2024Article
- Determinants of COVID-19 vaccine-induced myocarditis.Therapeutic advances in drug safety · 2024Article
- Systematic Review on the Efficacy, Effectiveness, Safety, and Immunogenicity of Monkeypox Vaccine.Vaccines · 2023Review
- A review of COVID-19 vaccination and the reported cardiac manifestations.Singapore medical journal · 2023Review
- Myocarditis and Pericarditis Post-mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination: Insights from a Pharmacovigilance Perspective.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023Article
- Concerns over cardiovascular manifestations associated with monkeypox immunization: a literature review.Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2023Article
- COVID-19, Myocarditis and Pericarditis.Circulation research · 2023Review
- Vaccination-Associated Myocarditis and Myocardial Injury.Circulation research · 2023Review
- Monkeypox virus infection and myocarditis: A review of current evidence and possible pathogenesis.Narra J · 2023Review
- Myocarditis Following COVID-19 Vaccination.Heart failure clinics · 2023Review
27 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
20 authors at 13 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAlthough myocarditis/pericarditis (MP) has been identified as an adverse event following smallpox vaccine (SPX), the prospective incidence of this reaction and new onset cardiac symptoms, including possible subclinical injury, has not been prospectively defined. PURPOSE: The study's primary objective was to determine the prospective incidence of new onset cardiac symptoms, clinical and possible subclinical MP in temporal association with immunization.
methodsNew onset cardiac symptoms, clinical MP and cardiac specific troponin T (cTnT) elevations following SPX (above individual baseline values) were measured in a multi-center prospective, active surveillance cohort study of healthy subjects receiving either smallpox vaccine or trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV).
resultsNew onset chest pain, dyspnea, and/or palpitations occurred in 10.6% of SPX-vaccinees and 2.6% of TIV-vaccinees within 30 days of immunization (relative risk (RR) 4.0, 95% CI: 1.7-9.3). Among the 1081 SPX-vaccinees with complete follow-up, 4 Caucasian males were diagnosed with probable myocarditis and 1 female with suspected pericarditis. This indicates a post-SPX incidence rate more than 200-times higher than the pre-SPX background population surveillance rate of myocarditis/pericarditis (RR 214, 95% CI 65-558). Additionally, 31 SPX-vaccinees without specific cardiac symptoms were found to have over 2-fold increases in cTnT (>99th percentile) from baseline (pre-SPX) during the window of risk for clinical myocarditis/pericarditis and meeting a proposed case definition for possible subclinical myocarditis. This rate is 60-times higher than the incidence rate of overt clinical cases. No clinical or possible subclinical myocarditis cases were identified in the TIV-vaccinated group.
conclusionsPassive surveillance significantly underestimates the true incidence of myocarditis/pericarditis after smallpox immunization. Evidence of subclinical transient cardiac muscle injury post-vaccinia immunization is a finding that requires further study to include long-term outcomes surveillance. Active safety surveillance is needed to identify adverse events that are not well understood or previously recognized.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.