Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25786208›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Cost-effectiveness of coronary artery calcium testing for coronary heart and cardiovascular disease risk prediction to guide statin allocation: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Eric T Roberts, Aaron Horne, Seth S Martin, Michael J Blaha, Ron Blankstein, Matthew J Budoff, Christopher Sibley, Joseph F Polak, Kevin D Frick, Roger S Blumenthal and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract readClinical StudyComparative StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Subclinical cardiovascular disease and utility of coronary artery calcium score.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Eric T RobertsJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Aaron HorneJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Seth S MartinJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Michael J BlahaJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Ron BlanksteinBrigham and Women's Hospital, Cardiovascular Division, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Matthew J BudoffUCLA School of Medicine, Department of Cardiology, Los Angeles, California, United States of America.
Christopher SibleyKnight Cardiovascular Institute, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Joseph F PolakTufts University School of Medicine, Lemuel Shattuck Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Kevin D FrickJohns Hopkins Carey Business School and Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Roger S BlumenthalJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Khurram NasirJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America; Center for Healthcare Advancement and Outcomes, Baptist Health South Florida, Miami, FL, United States of America; Miami Cardiovascular Institute (MCVI), Baptist Health South Florida, Miami, FL, United States of America; Department of Epidemiology, Robert Stempel College of Public Health, Florida International University, Miami, FL, United States of America.
Johns Hopkins University · USJohns Hopkins Medicine · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USOregon Health & Science University · USTufts University · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

VARIABILITY, STABILITY & SMOOTHNESS OF WALKINGP30AG024827 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI JENNIFER S BRACH · 2004 to 2026
$28.6M
CARDIOVASCULAR EPIDEMIOLOGY INSTITUTIONAL TRAININGT32HL007024 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Elizabeth Selvin · 1985 to 2026
$17.5M
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007024NHLBI NIH HHS T32HL07024NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024827
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) showed that the addition of coronary artery calcium (CAC) to traditional risk factors improves risk classification, particularly in intermediate risk asymptomatic patients with LDL cholesterol levels <160 mg/dL. However, the cost-effectiveness of incorporating CAC into treatment decision rules has yet to be clearly delineated.

objectiveTo model the cost-effectiveness of CAC for cardiovascular risk stratification in asymptomatic, intermediate risk patients not taking a statin. Treatment based on CAC was compared to (1) treatment of all intermediate-risk patients, and (2) treatment on the basis of United States guidelines.

methodsWe developed a Markov model of first coronary heart disease (CHD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. We modeled statin treatment in intermediate risk patients with CAC≥1 and CAC≥100, with different intensities of statins based on the CAC score. We compared these CAC-based treatment strategies to a "treat all" strategy and to treatment according to the Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III) guidelines. Clinical and economic outcomes were modeled over both five- and ten-year time horizons. Outcomes consisted of CHD and CVD events and Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). Sensitivity analyses considered the effect of higher event rates, different CAC and statin costs, indirect costs, and re-scanning patients with incidentalomas.

resultsWe project that it is both cost-saving and more effective to scan intermediate-risk patients for CAC and to treat those with CAC≥1, compared to treatment based on established risk-assessment guidelines. Treating patients with CAC≥100 is also preferred to existing guidelines when we account for statin side effects and the disutility of statin use.

conclusionCompared to the alternatives we assessed, CAC testing is both effective and cost saving as a risk-stratification tool, particularly if there are adverse effects of long-term statin use. CAC may enable providers to better tailor preventive therapy to patients' risks of CVD.

Indexed as

Coronary DiseaseHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsModels, BiologicalAdultAgedCalciumCoronary VesselsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPractice Guidelines as TopicProspective StudiesCalciumHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID25786208
PMCPMC4364761
OpenAlexW2131985932

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.