Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25782755›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2015

Definition and evaluation of the monotonicity condition for preference-based instruments.

Sonja A Swanson, Matthew Miller, James M Robins, Miguel A Hernán

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  15. Instrumental variable analyses for causal inference: Application to multilevel analyses of the alliance-outcome relation.Psychotherapy research : journal of the Society for Psychotherapy Research · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sonja A SwansonFrom the aDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA; bDepartment of Health Science, Northeastern University, Boston, MA; cDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA; and dHarvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology, Boston, MA.
Matthew Miller
James M Robins
Miguel A Hernán

Funding

Analytic Methods for HIV Treatment and Co-Factor EffectsR37AI032475 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ROBINS, JAMES M · 2005 to 2014
$6.0M
Dynamic strategies for the clinical management of HIV diseaseR01AI102634 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2013 to 2017
$2.6M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102634NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI032475
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreference-based instrumental variable methods are often used in comparative effectiveness research. Many instrumental variable studies estimate the local average treatment effect (ie, the effect in the "compliers") under the assumption of monotonicity, ie, no "defiers," and well-defined compliance types. However, the monotonicity assumption has not been empirically tested and the meaning of monotonicity itself is unclear.

methodsHere, we clarify the definition of local and global monotonicity and propose a novel study design to assess the monotonicity assumption empirically. Our design requires surveying physicians about their treatment plans and prescribing preferences for the same set of patients. We also discuss measures of monotonicity that can be calculated from this survey data. As an illustration, we conducted a pilot study in a survey of 53 physicians who reported treatment plans and prescribing preferences for hypothetical patients who were candidates for antipsychotic treatment.

resultsIn our study, nearly all patients exhibited some degree of monotonicity violations. In addition, patients could not be cleanly classified as compliers, defiers, always-takers, or never-takers.

conclusionsWe conclude that preference-based instrumental variable estimates should be interpreted cautiously because bias due to monotonicity violations is likely and because the subpopulation to which the estimate applies may not be well defined. Investigators using preference-based instruments may consider supplementing their study with a survey to empirically assess the magnitude and direction of bias due to violations of monotonicity.

Indexed as

Antipsychotic AgentsComparative Effectiveness ResearchData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansPhysiciansPilot ProjectsPractice Patterns, Physicians'Surveys and QuestionnairesAntipsychotic Agents

Identifiers

PMID25782755
PMCPMC4669963

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.