Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25780468›Full record

ArticleHereditary cancer in clinical practice2014

Prevalence and predictors of germline CDKN2A mutations for melanoma cases from Australia, Spain and the United Kingdom.

Mark Harland, Anne E Cust, Celia Badenas, Yu-Mei Chang, Elizabeth A Holland, Paula Aguilera, Joanne F Aitken, Bruce K Armstrong, Jennifer H Barrett, Cristina Carrera and 22 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hereditary cancer in clinical practice, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04533555 (Randomized Trial of Universal vs. Guideline-directed Germline Testing Among Young Adults With Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04533555 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Randomized Trial of Universal vs. Guideline-directed Germline Testing Among Young Adults With Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of PennsylvaniaRan2020 to 2025Enrolled749ConditionsCancerArmsBroad gene panel for young adult cancers, Standard
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Population-based analysis ofJournal of medical genetics · 2023
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  16. Inherited duplications of PPP2R3B predispose to nevi and melanoma via a C21orf91-driven proliferative phenotype.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 11 institutions in 4 countries.

Mark HarlandSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Anne E CustCancer Epidemiology and Services Research (CESR), Sydney School of Public Health, Sydney Medical School, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Celia BadenasDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
Yu-Mei ChangSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Elizabeth A HollandWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
Paula AguileraDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
Joanne F AitkenViertel Centre for Research in Cancer Control, The Cancer Council Queensland, Spring Hill, Brisbane, Australia.
Bruce K ArmstrongCancer Epidemiology and Services Research (CESR), Sydney School of Public Health, Sydney Medical School, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Jennifer H BarrettSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Cristina CarreraDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
May ChanSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Joanne GascoyneSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Graham G GilesCentre for Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia ; Cancer Epidemiology Centre, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Australia.
Chantelle Agha-HamiltonWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
John L HopperCentre for Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Mark A JenkinsCentre for Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Peter A KanetskyDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, FL USA.
Richard F KeffordWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
Isabel KolmWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
Johanna LoweryGenomics Facility, Leeds Cancer Research UK Centre, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Josep MalvehyDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
Zighereda OgbahDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Joan-Anton Puig-ButilleDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
Jordi Orihuela-SegalésMedicina Laboral, Lafarge Cementos y Finanzauto, S.A., Barcelona, Spain.
Juliette A Randerson-MoorSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Helen SchmidWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
Claire F TaylorGenomics Facility, Leeds Cancer Research UK Centre, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Linda WhitakerSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
D Timothy BishopSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Graham J MannWestmead Institute for Cancer Research and Melanoma Institute, Australia, University of Sydney at Westmead Millennium Institute, Sydney, Australia.
Julia A Newton-BishopSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology (LICAP), University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Susana PuigDermatology Department and Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics Department, Melanoma Unit, Hospital Clinic, Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain ; Centro Investigación Biomédica en Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Barcelona, Spain.
University of Leeds · GBConsorci Institut D'Investigacions Biomediques August Pi I Sunyer · ESUniversity of Melbourne · AUUniversity of Sydney · AUWestmead Institute · AUInstituto de Salud Carlos III · ESMelanoma Institute Australia · AUCancer Council Queensland · AUCancer Research UK · GBInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Raras · ESMoffitt Cancer Center · US

Funding

Genetic Epidermiology of MelanomaR01CA083115 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI BISHOP, DAVID TIMOTHY, ELDER, DAVID ERIC · 2001 to 2017
$13.0M
Cancer Research UK 10589Cancer Research UK 19167NCI NIH HHS R01 CA083115
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMutations in the CDKN2A and CDK4 genes predispose to melanoma. From three case-control studies of cutaneous melanoma, we estimated the prevalence and predictors of these mutations for people from regions with widely differing latitudes and melanoma incidence.

methodsPopulation-based cases and controls from the United Kingdom (1586 cases, 499 controls) and Australia (596 early-onset cases, 476 controls), and a hospital-based series from Spain (747 cases, 109 controls), were screened for variants in all exons of CDKN2A and the p16INK4A binding domain of CDK4.

resultsThe prevalence of mutations for people with melanoma was similar across regions: 2.3%, 2.5% and 2.0% for Australia, Spain and the United Kingdom respectively. The strongest predictors of carrying a mutation were having multiple primaries (odds ratio (OR) = 5.4, 95% confidence interval (CI: 2.5, 11.6) for 2 primaries and OR = 32.4 (95% CI: 14.7, 71.2) for 3 or more compared with 1 primary only); and family history (OR = 3.8; 95% CI:1.89, 7.5) for 1 affected first- or second-degree relative and OR = 23.2 (95% CI: 11.3, 47.6) for 2 or more compared with no affected relatives). Only 1.1% of melanoma cases with neither a family history nor multiple primaries had mutations.

conclusionsThere is a low probability (<2%) of detecting a germline CDKN2A mutation in people with melanoma except for those with a strong family history of melanoma (≥2 affected relatives, 25%), three or more primary melanomas (29%), or more than one primary melanoma who also have other affected relatives (27%).

Indexed as

CDKN2AFamily historyMelanomaMultiple primariesPopulation-based

Identifiers

PMID25780468
PMCPMC4361137
OpenAlexW2108846242

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.