Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25780047›Full record

ArticleCMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne2015

Estimated cost of universal public coverage of prescription drugs in Canada.

Steven G Morgan, Michael Law, Jamie R Daw, Liza Abraham, Danielle Martin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 46 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
46citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

46 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Article
  5. The first, fragile foundations of national pharmacare in Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Universal drug coverage for Canada: It's time.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. After More Than 50 Years, Pharmacare (and Dental Care) are Coming to Canada.International journal of health services : planning, administration, evaluation · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Outpatient oral anticancer agent utilization and costs in Manitoba from 2003 to 2016: a population-based study.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Universal Pharmacare in Canada: A Prescription for Equity in Healthcare.International journal of health policy and management · 2020
    Article
  16. Election 2019: unprecedented hope for universal pharmacare.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2019
    Article
  17. Review
  18. How to pay for national pharmacare.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2018
    Article
  19. Drug coverage in Canada: gaps and opportunities.Journal of psychiatry & neuroscience : JPN · 2018
    Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Steven G MorganSchool of Population and Public Health (Morgan); Centre for Health Services and Policy Research (Law), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; Harvard PhD Program in Health Policy (Daw), Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; Faculty of Medicine (Abraham), University of Toronto; Women's College Hospital, and Department of Family and Community Medicine (Martin), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont. steve.morgan@ubc.ca.
Michael LawSchool of Population and Public Health (Morgan); Centre for Health Services and Policy Research (Law), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; Harvard PhD Program in Health Policy (Daw), Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; Faculty of Medicine (Abraham), University of Toronto; Women's College Hospital, and Department of Family and Community Medicine (Martin), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
Jamie R DawSchool of Population and Public Health (Morgan); Centre for Health Services and Policy Research (Law), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; Harvard PhD Program in Health Policy (Daw), Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; Faculty of Medicine (Abraham), University of Toronto; Women's College Hospital, and Department of Family and Community Medicine (Martin), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
Liza AbrahamSchool of Population and Public Health (Morgan); Centre for Health Services and Policy Research (Law), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; Harvard PhD Program in Health Policy (Daw), Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; Faculty of Medicine (Abraham), University of Toronto; Women's College Hospital, and Department of Family and Community Medicine (Martin), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
Danielle MartinSchool of Population and Public Health (Morgan); Centre for Health Services and Policy Research (Law), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; Harvard PhD Program in Health Policy (Daw), Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; Faculty of Medicine (Abraham), University of Toronto; Women's College Hospital, and Department of Family and Community Medicine (Martin), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research ETG92245
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith the exception of Canada, all countries with universal health insurance systems provide universal coverage of prescription drugs. Progress toward universal public drug coverage in Canada has been slow, in part because of concerns about the potential costs. We sought to estimate the cost of implementing universal public coverage of prescription drugs in Canada.

methodsWe used published data on prescribing patterns and costs by drug type, as well as source of funding (i.e., private drug plans, public drug plans and out-of-pocket expenses), in each province to estimate the cost of universal public coverage of prescription drugs from the perspectives of government, private payers and society as a whole. We estimated the cost of universal public drug coverage based on its anticipated effects on the volume of prescriptions filled, products selected and prices paid. We selected these parameters based on current policies and practices seen either in a Canadian province or in an international comparator.

resultsUniversal public drug coverage would reduce total spending on prescription drugs in Canada by $7.3 billion (worst-case scenario $4.2 billion, best-case scenario $9.4 billion). The private sector would save $8.2 billion (worst-case scenario $6.6 billion, best-case scenario $9.6 billion), whereas costs to government would increase by about $1.0 billion (worst-case scenario $5.4 billion net increase, best-case scenario $2.9 billion net savings). Most of the projected increase in government costs would arise from a small number of drug classes.

interpretationThe long-term barrier to the implementation of universal pharmacare owing to its perceived costs appears to be unjustified. Universal public drug coverage would likely yield substantial savings to the private sector with comparatively little increase in costs to government.

Indexed as

CanadaCost of IllnessCosts and Cost AnalysisCost SavingsDrug TherapyHumansInsurance, Pharmaceutical ServicesPrescription DrugsPrivate SectorUniversal Health InsurancePrescription Drugs

Identifiers

PMID25780047
PMCPMC4401594

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.