ReviewScience (New York, N.Y.)2015
Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health.
Review in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 316 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
316 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Co-circulating pathogens of humans: a systematic review of mechanistic transmission models.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Pooled it
- Influence of Host and Landscape-Associated Factors in the Infection and Transmission of Pathogens: The Case of Directly Transmitted Virus in Mammals.Veterinary medicine and science · 2025Pooled it
- An umbrella review of the diagnostic value of next-generation sequencing in infectious diseases.International journal of clinical pharmacy · 2024Pooled it
- Mechanistic models for West Nile virus transmission: a systematic review of features, aims and parametrization.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Pooled it
- Health, Economic, and Social Impacts of Substandard and Falsified Medicines in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review of Methodological Approaches.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2023Pooled it
- Toward One Health: a spatial indicator system to model the facilitation of the spread of zoonotic diseases.Frontiers in public health · 2023Pooled it
- Evaluation of the Johne's disease surveillance program in dairy herds in Hokkaido, Japan, using a stochastic individual-based simulation model.The Journal of veterinary medical science · 2026Article
- Estimating the burden of leptospirosis in the Caribbean: Insights from environmental and sociodemographic factors.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Assessing human judgment forecasts in the rapid spread of the mpox outbreak: insights and challenges for pandemic preparedness.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- A data-driven analysis and forecasting of Leishmaniasis-COVID-19 co-infection model using ensemble Kalman filter.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Integrating Kolmogorov-Arnold networks with ordinary differential equations for efficient, interpretable, and robust deep learning: Epidemiology of infectious diseases as a case study.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Bringing environment back into human evolution: why human genetics needs genome-environment association studies.Human genetics · 2026Review
- Viral introductions and return to baseline sexual behaviors maintain low-level mpox incidence in Los Angeles.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Epidemiological characteristics and LSTM-based simulation of mumps incidence in Ningbo, China from 2005 to 2024.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Synthesis challenges in complex evidence: A critical analysis of systematic reviews of face mask efficacy.Research synthesis methods · 2026Article
- Spatial Individual-Level Models for Transmission Dynamics of Seasonal Infectious Diseases.Statistics in medicine · 2026Article
- The urban infection susceptibility index and its application in cities of China.Biosafety and health · 2026Article
- Real-time spatiotemporal tracking of infectious outbreaks in confined environments with a host-pathogen agent-based system.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Autophagy in emerging and highly concerned severe zoonotic infectious diseases.Frontiers in immunology · 2026Review
- Predictive modelling of the dynamics of antimicrobial resistance: creation of a bank of renewable models based on machine learning.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2026Article
256 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
23 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Despite some notable successes in the control of infectious diseases, transmissible pathogens still pose an enormous threat to human and animal health. The ecological and evolutionary dynamics of infections play out on a wide range of interconnected temporal, organizational, and spatial scales, which span hours to months, cells to ecosystems, and local to global spread. Moreover, some pathogens are directly transmitted between individuals of a single species, whereas others circulate among multiple hosts, need arthropod vectors, or can survive in environmental reservoirs. Many factors, including increasing antimicrobial resistance, increased human connectivity and changeable human behavior, elevate prevention and control from matters of national policy to international challenge. In the face of this complexity, mathematical models offer valuable tools for synthesizing information to understand epidemiological patterns, and for developing quantitative evidence for decision-making in global health.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.