Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25750459›Full record

ArticleThe journal of political economy2015

Measuring Returns to Hospital Care: Evidence from Ambulance Referral Patterns.

Joseph Doyle, John Graves, Jonathan Gruber, Samuel Kleiner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of political economy, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Evaluating hospital performance.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Doing More with Less: Predicting Primary Care Provider Effectiveness.The review of economics and statistics · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. MONITORING FOR WASTE: EVIDENCE FROM MEDICARE AUDITS.The quarterly journal of economics · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Public and Private Options in Practice: The Military Health System.American economic journal. Economic policy · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Joseph DoyleMIT Sloan School of Management 77 Massachusetts Ave, E62-515 Cambridge MA 02139.
John GravesVanderbilt University School of Medicine 2525 West End Ave. Suite 600 Nashville, TN 37203-1738.
Jonathan GruberMIT Department of Economics 50 Memorial Drive Building E52, Room 355 Cambridge MA 02142-1347.
Samuel KleinerDepartment of Policy Analysis and Management Cornell University 108 Martha Van Rensselaer Hall Ithaca, NY 14853.

Funding

Estimating the Returns to Medical Care SpendingR01AG041794 · NIA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI DOYLE, JOSEPH J · 2012 to 2018
$1.8M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG041794
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Medicare spending exceeds 4% of GDP in the US each year, and there are concerns that moral hazard problems have led to overspending. This paper considers whether hospitals that treat patients more aggressively and receive higher payments from Medicare improve health outcomes for their patients. An innovation is a new lens to compare hospital performance for emergency patients: plausibly exogenous variation in ambulance-company assignment among patients who live near one another. Using Medicare data from 2002-2010, we show that ambulance company assignment importantly affects hospital choice for patients in the same ZIP code. Using data for New York State from 2000-2006 that matches exact patient addresses to hospital discharge records, we show that patients who live very near each other but on either side of ambulance service area boundaries go to different types of hospitals. Both identification strategies show that higher-cost hospitals achieve better patient outcomes for a variety of emergency conditions. Using our Medicare sample, the estimates imply that a one standard deviation increase in Medicare reimbursement leads to a 4 percentage point reduction in mortality (10% compared to the mean). Taking into account one-year spending after the health shock, the implied cost per at least one year of life saved is approximately $80,000. These results are found across different types of hospitals and patients, as well across both identification strategies.

Identifiers

PMID25750459
PMCPMC4351552

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.