Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25745368›Full record

Observational studyPediatric rheumatology online journal2015

Prediction of methotrexate intolerance in juvenile idiopathic arthritis: a prospective, observational cohort study.

Evert Hendrik Pieter van Dijkhuizen, Maja Bulatović Ćalasan, Saskia M F Pluijm, Maurits C F J de Rotte, Sebastiaan J Vastert, Sylvia Kamphuis, Robert de Jonge, Nico M Wulffraat

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Pediatric rheumatology online journal, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04169828 (The Ondansetron Premedication Trial in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis), which is not on this map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04169828 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

The Ondansetron Premedication Trial in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of British ColumbiaRan2019 to 2025Enrolled52ConditionsJuvenile Idiopathic ArthritisArmsMethotrexate, Ondansetron, Folic/folinic acid
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Methotrexate for juvenile idiopathic arthritis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
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  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  13. Morphea: progress to date and the road ahead.Annals of translational medicine · 2021
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Analysis of association of ADORAThe pharmacogenomics journal · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Evert Hendrik Pieter van DijkhuizenDepartment of Paediatric Immunology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, Utrecht, The Netherlands ; Pediatria II, Reumatologia, IRCCS G. Gaslini, Largo Gaslini 5, 16147 Genova, Italy.
Maja Bulatović ĆalasanDepartment of Paediatric Immunology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Saskia M F PluijmDepartment of Paediatric Haemato-Oncology, Erasmus University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Maurits C F J de RotteDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, Erasmus University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Sebastiaan J VastertDepartment of Paediatric Immunology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Sylvia KamphuisDepartment of Paediatric Rheumatology, Erasmus University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Robert de JongeDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, Erasmus University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Nico M WulffraatDepartment of Paediatric Immunology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMethotrexate (MTX) is an effective and safe drug in the treatment of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Despite its safety, MTX-related gastrointestinal adverse effects before and after MTX administration, termed MTX intolerance, occur frequently, leading to non-compliance and potentially premature MTX termination. The aim of this study was to construct a risk model to predict MTX intolerance.

methodsIn a prospective JIA cohort, clinical variables and single nucleotide polymorphisms were determined at MTX start. The Methotrexate Intolerance Severity Score was employed to measure MTX intolerance in the first year of treatment. MTX intolerance was most prevalent at 6 or 12 months after MTX start, which was defined as the outcome for the prediction model. The model was developed in 152 patients using multivariable logistic regression analysis and subsequently internally validated using bootstrapping.

resultsThe prediction model included the following predictors: JIA category, antinuclear antibody, parent/patient assessment of pain, Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score-27, thrombocytes, alanine aminotransferase and creatinine. The model classified 77.5% of patients correctly, and 66.7% of patients after internal validation by bootstrapping. The lowest predicted risk of MTX intolerance was 18.9% and the highest predicted risk was 85.9%. The prediction model was transformed into a risk score (range 0-17). At a cut-off of ≥6, sensitivity was 82.0%, specificity 56.1%, positive predictive value was 58.7% and negative predictive value 80.4%.

conclusionsThis clinical prediction model showed moderate predictive power to detect MTX intolerance. To develop into a clinically usable tool, it should be validated in an independent cohort and updated with new predictors. Such an easy-to-use tool could then assist clinicians in identifying patients at risk to develop MTX intolerance, and in turn to monitor them closely and intervene timely in order to prevent the development of MTX intolerance.

trial registrationISRCTN register, www.isrctn.com, ISRCTN13524271.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdolescentAlanine TransaminaseAntibodies, AntinuclearAntirheumatic AgentsArthritis, JuvenileChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesCreatinineDose-Response Relationship, DrugFemaleGastrointestinal DiseasesHumansInfantLogistic ModelsAlanine TransaminaseAntibodies, AntinuclearAntirheumatic AgentsCreatinineMethotrexateAdverse eventsJuvenile idiopathic arthritisMethotrexateMethotrexate intolerancePrediction modelPredictor

Identifiers

PMID25745368
PMCPMC4349799

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.