ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2015
The effect of meteorological variables on the transmission of hand, foot and mouth disease in four major cities of shanxi province, China: a time series data analysis (2009-2013).
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The effect of daily mean temperature on hand, foot and mouth disease and the source of regional heterogeneity in Chongqing, China, 2010-2019.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2022Pooled it
- Molecular characterization and whole-genome sequencing-based genetic evolution of coxsackievirus A16 in Taiyuan City, 2023-2025.Archives of virology · 2026Article
- Seasonal and Meteorological Drivers of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Outbreaks Using Data-Driven Machine Learning Models.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Role of meteorological parameters with the spread of Covid-19 in Pakistan: application of autoregressive distributed lag approach.International journal of environmental science and technology : IJEST · 2023Article
- Forecasting HFMD Cases Using Weather Variables and Google Search Queries in Sabah, Malaysia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Effects of temperature and PMEnvironmental science and pollution research international · 2022Article
- How to improve infectious disease prediction by integrating environmental data: an application of a novel ensemble analysis strategy to predict HFMD.Epidemiology and infection · 2021Article
- Spatial-temporal heterogeneity and meteorological factors of hand-foot-and-mouth disease in Xinjiang, China from 2008 to 2016.PloS one · 2021Article
- The burden of childhood hand-foot-mouth disease morbidity attributable to relative humidity: a multicity study in the Sichuan Basin, China.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- The long-term effects of meteorological parameters on pertussis infections in Chongqing, China, 2004-2018.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013-2017.The Journal of international medical research · 2020Article
- Integration of a Kalman filter in the geographically weighted regression for modeling the transmission of hand, foot and mouth disease.BMC public health · 2020Article
- Incidence of Infection of Enterovirus 71 and Coxsackieviruses A6 and A16 among Household Contacts of Index Cases in Dong Thap Province, Southern Vietnam.BioMed research international · 2020Article
- A method for hand-foot-mouth disease prediction using GeoDetector and LSTM model in Guangxi, China.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China.BMC public health · 2019Article
- Climate change threatens the achievement of effective universal healthcare.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2019Article
- Dynamic Bayesian network in infectious diseases surveillance: a simulation study.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Development and evaluation of a deep learning approach for modeling seasonality and trends in hand-foot-mouth disease incidence in mainland China.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Analysis of the effect of PM10 on hand, foot and mouth disease in a basin terrain city.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Observational
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6 authors.
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Abstract
Increased incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has been recognized as a critical challenge to communicable disease control and public health response. This study aimed to quantify the association between climate variation and notified cases of HFMD in selected cities of Shanxi Province, and to provide evidence for disease control and prevention. Meteorological variables and HFMD cases data in 4 major cities (Datong, Taiyuan, Changzhi and Yuncheng) of Shanxi province, China, were obtained from the China Meteorology Administration and China CDC respectively over the period 1 January 2009 to 31 December 2013. Correlations analyses and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models were used to identify and quantify the relationship between the meteorological variables and HFMD. HFMD incidence varied seasonally with the majority of cases in the 4 cities occurring from May to July. Temperatures could play important roles in the incidence of HFMD in these regions. The SARIMA models indicate that a 1° C rise in average, maximum and minimum temperatures may lead to a similar relative increase in the number of cases in the 4 cities. The lag times for the effects of temperatures were identified in Taiyuan, Changzhi and Yuncheng. The numbers of cases were positively associated with average and minimum temperatures at a lag of 1 week in Taiyuan, Changzhi and Yuncheng, and with maximum temperature at a lag of 2 weeks in Yuncheng. Positive association between the temperature and HFMD has been identified from the 4 cities in Shanxi Province, although the role of weather variables on the transmission of HFMD varied in the 4 cities. Relevant prevention measures and public health action are required to reduce future risks of climate change with consideration of local climatic conditions.
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