Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25740799›Full record

SynthesisBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2015

The diagnostic accuracy of the natriuretic peptides in heart failure: systematic review and diagnostic meta-analysis in the acute care setting.

Emmert Roberts, Andrew J Ludman, Katharina Dworzynski, Abdallah Al-Mohammad, Martin R Cowie, John J V McMurray, Jonathan Mant, NICE Guideline Development Group for Acute Heart Failure

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06377319 (Clinical Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Based Decision Support System for Predicting Risk, Diagnosis, and Progression of Heart Failure), which is not on this map. Cited by 170 papers, 13 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
170citing papers in PubMed, 13 pooled it
26.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06377319 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Clinical Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Based Decision Support System for Predicting Risk, Diagnosis, and Progression of Heart Failure

TypeobservationalSponsorCoventry UniversityRan2024 to 2027Enrolled1,600ConditionsHeart FailureArmsCardiac Output Response to Stress (CORS) test
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

170 citing papers in PubMed, 13 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 420 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. BNP/NT-proBNP in pulmonary arterial hypertension: time for point-of-care testing?European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2020
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  19. Diagnostic and prognostic utility of bone morphogenetic protein 10 in acute dyspnea: a cohort study.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
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110 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Emmert RobertsMaudsley Hospital, South London and the Maudsley Mental Health Trust, London, UK.
Andrew J LudmanRoyal Devon & Exeter NHS Foundation Trust, Wonford, Exeter EX2 5DW, UK a.ludman@nhs.net.
Katharina DworzynskiNational Clinical Guideline Centre, Royal College of Physicians, London, UK.
Abdallah Al-MohammadSouth Yorkshire Cardiothoracic Centre, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Martin R CowieNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London (Royal Brompton Hospital), London, UK.
John J V McMurrayBritish Heart Foundation (BHF) Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Jonathan MantPrimary Care Unit, Department of Public Health & Primary Care, Strangeways Research Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
NICE Guideline Development Group for Acute Heart Failure
British Heart Foundation · GBImperial College London · GBMaudsley Hospital · GBRoyal College of Physicians · GBRoyal Devon & Exeter NHS Foundation Trust · GBSheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine and compare the diagnostic accuracy of serum natriuretic peptide levels (B type natriuretic peptide, N terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), and mid-regional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MRproANP)) in people presenting with acute heart failure to acute care settings using thresholds recommended in the 2012 European Society of Cardiology guidelines for heart failure.

designSystematic review and diagnostic meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Medline, Embase, Cochrane central register of controlled trials, Cochrane database of systematic reviews, database of abstracts of reviews of effects, NHS economic evaluation database, and Health Technology Assessment up to 28 January 2014, using combinations of subject headings and terms relating to heart failure and natriuretic peptides. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: Eligible studies evaluated one or more natriuretic peptides (B type natriuretic peptide, NTproBNP, or MRproANP) in the diagnosis of acute heart failure against an acceptable reference standard in consecutive or randomly selected adults in an acute care setting. Studies were excluded if they did not present sufficient data to extract or calculate true positives, false positives, false negatives, and true negatives, or report age independent natriuretic peptide thresholds. Studies not available in English were also excluded.

results37 unique study cohorts described in 42 study reports were included, with a total of 48 test evaluations reporting 15 263 test results. At the lower recommended thresholds of 100 ng/L for B type natriuretic peptide and 300 ng/L for NTproBNP, the natriuretic peptides have sensitivities of 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.93 to 0.96) and 0.99 (0.97 to 1.00) and negative predictive values of 0.94 (0.90 to 0.96) and 0.98 (0.89 to 1.0), respectively, for a diagnosis of acute heart failure. At the lower recommended threshold of 120 pmol/L, MRproANP has a sensitivity ranging from 0.95 (range 0.90-0.98) to 0.97 (0.95-0.98) and a negative predictive value ranging from 0.90 (0.80-0.96) to 0.97 (0.96-0.98). At higher thresholds the sensitivity declined progressively and specificity remained variable across the range of values. There was no statistically significant difference in diagnostic accuracy between plasma B type natriuretic peptide and NTproBNP.

conclusionsAt the rule-out thresholds recommended in the 2012 European Society of Cardiology guidelines for heart failure, plasma B type natriuretic peptide, NTproBNP, and MRproANP have excellent ability to exclude acute heart failure. Specificity is variable, and so imaging to confirm a diagnosis of heart failure is required. There is no statistical difference between the diagnostic accuracy of plasma B type natriuretic peptide and NTproBNP. Introduction of natriuretic peptide measurement in the investigation of patients with suspected acute heart failure has the potential to allow rapid and accurate exclusion of the diagnosis.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAtrial Natriuretic FactorBiomarkersHeart FailureHumansNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsSensitivity and SpecificityAtrial Natriuretic FactorBiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)

Identifiers

PMID25740799
PMCPMC4353288
OpenAlexW2090678743

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.