Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25738736›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Estimating influenza disease burden from population-based surveillance data in the United States.

Carrie Reed, Sandra S Chaves, Pam Daily Kirley, Ruth Emerson, Deborah Aragon, Emily B Hancock, Lisa Butler, Joan Baumbach, Gary Hollick, Nancy M Bennett and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 235 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
235citing papers in PubMed, 12 pooled it
24.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

235 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 399 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Spotlight influenza: Laboratory-confirmed seasonal influenza in people with acute respiratory illness: a literature review and meta-analysis, WHO European Region, 2004 to 2017.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021
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175 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Carrie ReedInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
Sandra S ChavesInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
Pam Daily KirleyCalifornia Emerging Infections Program, Oakland, CA, United States of America.
Ruth EmersonCalifornia Emerging Infections Program, Oakland, CA, United States of America.
Deborah AragonColorado Emerging Infections Program, Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, Denver, CO, United States of America.
Emily B HancockNew Mexico Emerging Infections Program, Santa Fe, NM, United States of America.
Lisa ButlerNew Mexico Emerging Infections Program, Santa Fe, NM, United States of America.
Joan BaumbachNew Mexico Emerging Infections Program, Santa Fe, NM, United States of America.
Gary HollickNew York Emerging Infections Program, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, NY, United States of America.
Nancy M BennettNew York Emerging Infections Program, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, NY, United States of America.
Matthew R LaidlerOregon Public Health Division, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Ann ThomasOregon Public Health Division, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Martin I MeltzerDivision Of Preparedness and Emerging Infections, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
Lyn FinelliInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USOregon Health Authority · USUniversity of Rochester · USColorado Department of Public Health and Environment · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Annual estimates of the influenza disease burden provide information to evaluate programs and allocate resources. We used a multiplier method with routine population-based surveillance data on influenza hospitalization in the United States to correct for under-reporting and estimate the burden of influenza for seasons after the 2009 pandemic. Five sites of the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET) collected data on the frequency and sensitivity of influenza testing during two seasons to estimate under-detection. Population-based rates of influenza-associated hospitalization and Intensive Care Unit admission from 2010-2013 were extrapolated to the U.S. population from FluSurv-NET and corrected for under-detection. Influenza deaths were calculated using a ratio of deaths to hospitalizations. We estimated that influenza-related hospitalizations were under-detected during 2010-11 by a factor of 2.1 (95%CI 1.7-2.9) for age < 18 years, 3.1 (2.4-4.5) for ages 18-64 years, and 5.2 (95%CI 3.8-8.3) for age 65+. Results were similar in 2011-12. Extrapolated estimates for 3 seasons from 2010-2013 included: 114,192-624,435 hospitalizations, 18,491-95,390 ICU admissions, and 4,915-27,174 deaths per year; 54-70% of hospitalizations and 71-85% of deaths occurred among adults aged 65+. Influenza causes a substantial disease burden in the U.S. that varies by age and season. Periodic estimation of multipliers across multiple sites and age groups improves our understanding of influenza detection in sentinel surveillance systems. Adjusting surveillance data using a multiplier method is a relatively simple means to estimate the impact of influenza and the subsequent value of interventions to prevent influenza.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedChildFemaleHospitalizationHumansInfluenza, HumanMaleMiddle AgedSeasonsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID25738736
PMCPMC4349859
OpenAlexW2082309080

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.