Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25734117›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2014

Learning Data-Driven Patient Risk Stratification Models for Clostridium difficile.

Jenna Wiens, Wayne N Campbell, Ella S Franklin, John V Guttag, Eric Horvitz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. A Risk Score to PredictOpen forum infectious diseases · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Learning Credible Models.KDD : proceedings. International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining · 2018
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Learning the Probability of Activation in the Presence of Latent Spreaders.Proceedings of the ... AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence. AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · 2018
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Machine Learning for Healthcare: On the Verge of a Major Shift in Healthcare Epidemiology.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
    Review
  16. Article
  17. How next-generation sequencing and multiscale data analysis will transform infectious disease management.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jenna WiensDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge.
Wayne N CampbellDivision of Infectious Diseases, MedStar Health , The Union Memorial Hospital , Baltimore, Maryland.
Ella S FranklinMedStar, National Center for Human Factors in Healthcare , Washington, District of Columbia.
John V GuttagDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge.
Eric HorvitzMicrosoft Research , Redmond, Washington.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough many risk factors are well known, Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) continues to be a significant problem throughout the world. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a data-driven, hospital-specific risk stratification procedure for estimating the probability that an inpatient will test positive for C difficile.

methodsWe consider electronic medical record (EMR) data from patients admitted for ≥24 hours to a large urban hospital in the U.S. between April 2011 and April 2013. Predictive models were constructed using L2-regularized logistic regression and data from the first year. The number of observational variables considered varied from a small set of well known risk factors readily available to a physician to over 10 000 variables automatically extracted from the EMR. Each model was evaluated on holdout admission data from the following year. A total of 34 846 admissions with 372 cases of CDI was used to train the model.

resultsApplied to the separate validation set of 34 722 admissions with 355 cases of CDI, the model that made use of the additional EMR data yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI], .79-.83), and it significantly outperformed the model that considered only the small set of known clinical risk factors, AUROC of 0.71 (95% CI, .69-.75).

conclusionsAutomated risk stratification of patients based on the contents of their EMRs can be used to accurately identify a high-risk population of patients. The proposed method holds promise for enabling the selective allocation of interventions aimed at reducing the rate of CDI.

Indexed as

Clostridium difficiledata-driven methodselectronic medical recordsmachine learningrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID25734117
PMCPMC4281796

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.