Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25734005›Full record

ArticleJournal of global health2015

Unemployment, public-sector health care expenditure and HIV mortality: An analysis of 74 countries, 1981-2009.

Mahiben Maruthappu, Charlie Da Zhou, Callum Williams, Thomas Zeltner, Rifat Atun

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Article in Journal of global health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mahiben MaruthappuImperial College London, London, UK ; Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Charlie Da ZhouNew College, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Callum WilliamsThe Economist, London, UK ; Faculty of History, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Thomas ZeltnerSpecial Envoy for Financing to the Director General of the World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland ; University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Rifat AtunHarvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global economic downturn has been associated with increased unemployment and reduced public-sector expenditure on health care (PSEH). We determined the association between unemployment, PSEH and HIV mortality.

methodsData were obtained from the World Bank and the World Health Organisation (1981-2009). Multivariate regression analysis was implemented, controlling for country-specific demographics and infrastructure. Time-lag analyses and robustness-checks were performed.

findingsData were available for 74 countries (unemployment analysis) and 75 countries (PSEH analysis), equating to 2.19 billion and 2.22 billion people, respectively, as of 2009. A 1% increase in unemployment was associated with a significant increase in HIV mortality (men: 0.1861, 95% CI: 0.0977 to 0.2744, P = 0.0000, women: 0.0383, 95% CI: 0.0108 to 0.0657, P = 0.0064). A 1% increase in PSEH was associated with a significant decrease in HIV mortality (men: -0.5015, 95% CI: -0.7432 to -0.2598, P = 0.0001; women: -0.1562, 95% CI: -0.2404 to -0.0720, P = 0.0003). Time-lag analysis showed that significant changes in HIV mortality continued for up to 5 years following variations in both unemployment and PSEH.

interpretationUnemployment increases were associated with significant HIV mortality increases. PSEH increases were associated with reduced HIV mortality. The facilitation of access-to-care for the unemployed and policy interventions which aim to protect PSEH could contribute to improved HIV outcomes.

Identifiers

PMID25734005
PMCPMC4337148

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.