Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25722739›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of emergency surgery : WJES2015

A practical scoring system to predict mortality in patients with perforated peptic ulcer.

Ebru Menekse, Belma Kocer, Ramazan Topcu, Aydemir Olmez, Mesut Tez, Cuneyt Kayaalp

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of emergency surgery : WJES, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04994184 (Scoring System in Predicting Perforated Duodenal Ulcer Morbidity and Mortality in Bpkihs), which is not on this map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04994184 completednot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Scoring System in Predicting Perforated Duodenal Ulcer Morbidity and Mortality in Bpkihs

TypeobservationalSponsorB.P. Koirala Institute of Health SciencesRan2021 to 2021Enrolled74ConditionsPerforated Duodenal Ulcer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Early post-operative morbidity and mortality predictors in peptic ulcer perforation.Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Risk factors influencing postoperative outcome in patients with perforated peptic ulcer: a prospective cohort study.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Low serum albumin may predict the need for gastric resection in patients with perforated peptic ulcer.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2017
    Article
  16. Perforated peptic ulcer - an update.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2017
    Review
  17. Article
  18. [Therapy concepts for diffuse peritonitis: When laparoscopic lavage and when open abdomen?].Der Chirurg; Zeitschrift fur alle Gebiete der operativen Medizen · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ebru MenekseDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, 06100 Turkey.
Belma KocerDepartment of General Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Sakarya University, Sakarya, 54000 Turkey.
Ramazan TopcuGeneral Surgery Clinic, Turhal State Hospital, 60300 Tokat, Turkey.
Aydemir OlmezDepartment of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Mersin University, 33343 Mersin, Turkey.
Mesut TezDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, 06100 Turkey.
Cuneyt KayaalpDepartment of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Inonu University, 44280 Malatya, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe mortality rate of perforated peptic ulcer is still high particularly for aged patients and all the existing scoring systems to predict mortality are complicated or based on history taking which is not always reliable for elderly patients. This study's aim was to develop an easy and applicable scoring system to predict mortality based on hospital admission data.

methodsTotal 227 patients operated for perforated peptic ulcer in two centers were included. All data that may be potential predictors with respect to hospital mortality were retrospectively analyzed.

resultsThe mortality and morbidity rates were 10.1% and 24.2%, respectively. Multivariated analysis pointed out three parameters corresponding 1 point for each which were age >65 years, albumin ≤1,5 g/dl and BUN >45 mg/dl. Its prediction rate was high with 0,931 (95% CI, 0,890 to 0,961) value of AUC. The hospital mortality rates for none, one, two and three positive results were zero, 7.1%, 34.4% and 88.9%, respectively.

conclusionBecause the new system consists only age and routinely measured two simple laboratory tests (albumin and BUN), its application is easy and prediction power is satisfactory. Verification of this new scoring system is required by large scale multicenter studies.

Indexed as

MortalityPeptic ulcerPerforationScoring methods

Identifiers

PMID25722739
PMCPMC4341864

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.